| Market | Leading outcome | 24h volume |
|---|
| 🗓 Fed Decision in October? | full event guide | $1.53M |
| 🗓 Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | full event guide | $595.1K |
| 🗓 Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 | full event guide | $129.2K |
| 🗓 Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026? | full event guide | $1.9K |
| 🗓 California Governor Election Winner | full event guide | $2.2K |
| 🗓 Wisconsin Governor Election Winner | full event guide | $1.9K |
| 🗓 Michigan Governor Election Winner | full event guide | $561 |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 42.5% | $875.4K |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 20.6% | $504.3K |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade? | By March 31 71% | $485.5K |
| Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? | Gadi Eizenkot 46.8% | $463.7K |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 14.5% | $452.2K |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17.9% | $421.8K |
| Next Prime Minister of Spain? | Alberto Núñez Feijóo 81.5% | $394.0K |
| Elon Musk # tweets September 29 - October 6, 2026? | 220-239 56.5% | $336.9K |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes 4.9% | $319.1K |
| Next Prime Minister of Romania? | Luca Niculescu 43.8% | $318.5K |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues? | Through October 5 99.9% | $218.8K |
| Putin out as President of Russia? | By June 30, 2027 10.5% | $162.0K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 18.5% | $160.5K |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist? | By December 31 3.1% | $154.4K |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed? | By December 31 16.5% | $149.9K |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 64.5% | $141.2K |
| Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026? | 200-219 32.5% | $137.3K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 5.5% | $129.4K |
| Iran leadership change? | By June 30, 2027 22.5% | $122.7K |
| Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026? | 200-219 24.5% | $120.7K |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts? | By November 30 75.5% | $119.3K |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | Yes 9.5% | $115.1K |
| Next leader out of power before 2027? | None before 2027 36% | $111.2K |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain? | By December 31, 2026 29% | $110.9K |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 50.2% | $86.1K |
| Indiana enacts data center moratorium? | By December 31, 2028 14.5% | $85.7K |
| Next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Aleksandar Vučić 66.1% | $81.2K |
| Nevada Governor Election Winner | Aaron Ford (D) 55.5% | $77.7K |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 74.5% | $75.2K |
| Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | Abiy Ahmed 99.4% | $62.0K |
| Lima Mayoral Election Winner | Rafael López Aliaga 94.5% | $58.0K |
| Spain snap election called? | By December 31 99.9% | $57.7K |
| Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner | Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 63.5% | $53.0K |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 74.5% | $51.1K |
| Quebec General Election Winner | PQ 99.9% | $47.9K |
| Ohio enacts data center moratorium? | By December 31, 2028 25.5% | $47.3K |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka? | By June 30, 2027 59% | $45.9K |
| Israeli Legislative Election Winner | Yashar 50.5% | $42.1K |
| Houthis enter Aden? | By December 31 27.5% | $40.2K |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes 28% | $38.3K |
| Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027? | Somaliland 14% | $36.6K |
| Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner | Douglas Ruas 95.5% | $35.8K |
| Israel Election: Likud # of seats? | 20-24 35.5% | $35.7K |
| Minnesota Senate Election Winner | Peggy Flanagan (D) 86.5% | $33.6K |
| NATO x Russia military clash? | By December 31 21.5% | $32.7K |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes 2.5% | $30.5K |
| Saudi airspace closed? | By December 31 15.5% | $29.4K |
| Lula or Bolsonaro favored? | October 5 0.3% | $28.5K |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement? | By December 31 33% | $27.8K |
| Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round? | Marine Le Pen 91% | $26.6K |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes 5.5% | $25.8K |
| New Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Lee Shu-chuan 64.5% | $25.1K |
| Iran leader end of 2026? | Mojtaba Khamenei 88.3% | $24.8K |
| Los Angeles Mayoral Election | Nithya Raman 60.2% | $23.9K |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes 2.5% | $23.7K |
| Bulgaria Presidential Election | Iliana Iotova 90% | $22.5K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 10% | $22.2K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement? | By December 31, 2027 69% | $20.5K |
| Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026? | 1000+ 34.5% | $20.3K |
| Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31? | Steve Witkoff 50% | $19.8K |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany? | By December 31, 2027 24.5% | $19.4K |
| Republican House odds hit __ by October 31? | ↓ 7% 91.1% | $16.8K |
| Venezuela leader end of 2026? | Nicolás Maduro 71.2% | $16.7K |
| Russia x Ukraine peace talks? | By December 31 59% | $16.6K |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes 10.5% | $16.4K |
| PA-01 House Election Winner | Brian Fitzpatrick (R) 60% | $16.3K |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control? | By December 31 31% | $15.3K |
| Maine Senate Election Winner | Troy Jackson (D) 58.5% | $14.2K |
| Fed Decision in January? | No change 57.5% | $13.9K |
| Next Prime Minister of Sweden | Magdalena Andersson 80.5% | $13.8K |
| Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania? | Independent/Technocrat 71% | $12.9K |
| Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31? | Kaitlan Collins 99.8% | $12.7K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Yes 2.5% | $11.9K |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | Yes 2.4% | $11.9K |
| Montana Senate Election Winner | Kurt Alme (R) 91.5% | $11.1K |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | Yes 18.5% | $10.2K |
| 2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner | Kuomintang (KMT) 89.5% | $10.2K |
| MT-01 House Election Winner | Aaron Flint (R) 77.5% | $9.9K |
| Next Premier of British Columbia | David Eby 53.5% | $9.8K |
| Who will announce Presidential run before 2027? | Ron DeSantis 14% | $8.9K |
| Netanyahu out? | By December 31 38.5% | $8.4K |
| Quebec General Election: Second Place | PLQ 96.8% | $8.3K |
| Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? | Yes 29.5% | $8.1K |
| GA-10 House Election Winner | Houston Gaines (R) 96.2% | $8.0K |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia? | By December 31, 2026 6.5% | $7.9K |
| Next Premier of Quebec | Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 99.1% | $7.9K |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes 3.0% | $7.9K |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | Yes 2.8% | $7.8K |
| Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet? | None before 2027 61.3% | $7.8K |
| Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president? | By October 15 2.8% | $7.7K |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting? | By December 31, 2026 46% | $7.6K |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | Yes 2.6% | $7.5K |
| Alaska Senate Election Winner | Mary Peltola 73.5% | $7.5K |
| Ohio Senate Election Winner | Sherrod Brown (D) 61.5% | $7.5K |
| Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026? | China 75.5% | $7.4K |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site? | By December 31 14.5% | $7.3K |
| Paraná Governor Election Winner | Sergio Moro 98.8% | $7.1K |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 73% | $6.9K |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement? | By June 30, 2027 33.5% | $6.8K |
| Texas enacts data center moratorium? | By December 31, 2028 25.5% | $6.8K |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen? | By December 31, 2026 24% | $6.6K |
| CA-14 House Election Winner | Democratic Party 99.9% | $6.6K |
| Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures) | December 31 19.5% | $6.4K |
| Will Russia invade another country? | By December 31, 2027 15% | $6.4K |
| Who will Trump meet with in 2026? | Vladimir Putin 81% | $6.4K |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 3.6% | $6.4K |
| Will Trump visit Greenland? | By December 31 10.5% | $6.3K |
| Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 29 - October 6, 2026? | 140-159 57.8% | $6.2K |
| Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs? | No Next Minister by Feb 28 33.5% | $6.2K |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory? | By June 30, 2027 8.5% | $5.5K |
| Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner | Pete Fry 75.4% | $5.3K |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium? | By December 31 5.5% | $5.3K |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 73.5% | $5.3K |
| Which coalition will form the next Romanian government? | PSD + PNL + UDMR 17.4% | $5.3K |
| Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? | Jon Ossoff 48.5% | $5.2K |
| Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil? | Flávio Bolsonaro 58% | $5.2K |
| Nebraska Senate Election Winner | Pete Ricketts (R) 73.5% | $5.1K |
| Missouri enacts data center moratorium? | By December 31, 2028 25.5% | $5.1K |
| Vermont Governor Election Winner | Phil Scott (R) 76.5% | $5.1K |
| Kansas Senate Election Winner | Roger Marshall (R) 67.5% | $5.1K |
| US-Yemen ceasefire continues? | Through October 9 84.2% | $5.0K |
| What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) 15.5% | $5.0K |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | ≤47 38.5% | $4.8K |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America? | By December 31 2.1% | $4.7K |
| Iowa Governor Election Winner | Rob Sand (D) 88.5% | $4.6K |
| Who will be arrested before 2027? | John Brennan 23.5% | $4.6K |
| South Carolina Senate Election Winner | Darline Graham Nordone (R) 85.5% | $4.5K |
| SD-AL House Election Winner | Marty Jackley (R) 95.5% | $4.5K |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire? | By December 31 10.5% | $4.4K |
| Which parties will be in the next Israeli government? | Yashar 58.5% | $4.4K |
| CO-05 House Election Winner | Jeff Crank (R) 72% | $4.4K |
| Florida Senate Election Winner | Ashley Moody (R) 91.5% | $4.3K |
| Argentina Presidential Election Winner | Javier Milei 55.5% | $4.3K |
| MO-03 House Election Winner | Bob Onder (R) 94.5% | $4.2K |
| Which coalition will form the next Swedish government? | S + MP + C + V 23.5% | $4.2K |
| Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027? | Markwayne Mullin 37% | $4.2K |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes 82.5% | $4.1K |
| Arizona Governor Election Winner | Katie Hobbs (D) 91.5% | $4.1K |
| No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez? | By December 31 2.9% | $4.1K |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs? | By December 31 39% | $4.0K |
| KS-04 House Election Winner | Ron Estes (R) 95% | $4.0K |
| Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt? | Ulrich Siegmund 61.5% | $3.7K |
| Next Serbia Presidential Election Winner | Miloš Vučević 35.4% | $3.6K |
| MI-07 House Election Winner | William Lawrence (D) 61.5% | $3.6K |
| Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place? | No Meeting by December 31 51.5% | $3.5K |
| CT-03 House Election Winner | Rosa DeLauro (D) 96.4% | $3.5K |
| What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? | 4.25% 59.7% | $3.5K |
| Insurrection Act invoked? | By December 31 11.5% | $3.5K |
| FL-19 House Election Winner | Jim Schwartzel (R) 94.5% | $3.5K |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 57.5% | $3.5K |
| Will Trump publicly insult someone? | September 24 92% | $3.5K |
| Chiclayo Mayoral Election Winner | Elber Requejo Sánchez 98.6% | $3.4K |
| Erdoğan out? | By December 31, 2027 29.5% | $3.3K |
| Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner | Allyson 86.5% | $3.3K |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes 3.8% | $3.3K |
| Huancayo Mayoral Election Winner | Emerson Nolasco Delgado 98.6% | $3.2K |
| Florida Governor Election Winner | Byron Donalds (R) 76.5% | $3.2K |
| Quebec General Election: CAQ # Seats? | <5 78.5% | $3.1K |
| SC-07 House Election Winner | Russell Fry (R) 95.5% | $3.1K |
| Toronto Mayoral Election Winner | Olivia Chow 87.5% | $3.1K |
| Georgia Governor Election Winner | Rick Jackson (R) 50.5% | $3.1K |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out? | By December 31 86.2% | $3.1K |
| Amazonas Senate Election: 2nd Place | Plinio Valério 73.6% | $3.0K |
| Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Amapá | Lula 97.9% | $3.0K |
| US strike on Mexico? | By December 31 5.6% | $2.9K |
| Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Below 190 30% | $2.9K |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes 3.3% | $2.9K |
| Ohio Governor Election Winner | Amy Acton (D) 67.5% | $2.8K |
| 2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory | Democrats 8-10% 29.5% | $2.7K |
| IL-02 House Election Winner | Donna Miller (D) 95.9% | $2.7K |
| Next Romania PM appointed by…? | December 31 90% | $2.6K |
| Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30? | Yes 1.4% | $2.6K |
| Will Russia capture Lyman? | By December 31 5.5% | $2.6K |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country? | By December 31, 2026 6.0% | $2.5K |
| Greek snap election scheduled in 2026? | Yes 6.5% | $2.5K |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31? | Yes 1.8% | $2.5K |
| Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31? | Byron Donalds 97.3% | $2.5K |
| Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31? | ↓ 30% 55.5% | $2.5K |
| Fetterman leaves the Democrats? | By December 31, 2026 11.5% | $2.4K |
| Querétaro Governor Election Winner | Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero 44% | $2.4K |
| Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner | Sagal Abdi-Wali 92.5% | $2.4K |
| Next Mayor of Prague | Tomáš Portlík 57.5% | $2.4K |
| Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026? | Yes 2.8% | $2.3K |
| What will Fed Rate hit before 2027? | ↑ 4.25% 76.8% | $2.3K |
| NY-17 House Election Winner | Cait Conley (D) 63.5% | $2.3K |
| Les Républicains Seat Count after French Senate Election? | 121-124 79.5% | $2.3K |
| Louisiana enacts data center moratorium? | By December 31, 2028 18.5% | $2.3K |
| OH-05 House Election Winner | Bob Latta (R) 95.5% | $2.2K |
| UT-04 House Election Winner | Mike Kennedy (R) 93% | $2.1K |
| Piura Mayoral Election Winner | Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi 93% | $2.1K |
| Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027? | No meeting before 2027 94% | $2.1K |
| AR-02 House Election Winner | French Hill (R) 82% | $2.1K |
| Who will Trump pardon before 2027? | Donald Brodie 30% | $2.1K |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | Yes 4.5% | $2.1K |
| MN-07 House Election Winner | Michelle Fischbach (R) 96.4% | $2.1K |
| Amazonas Governor Election Winner | Omar Aziz 79% | $2.1K |
| AL-02 House Election Winner | Rhett Marques (R) 74.5% | $2.1K |
| Which parties will be in next Swedish Government? | Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 82.1% | $2.0K |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | Yes 3.2% | $2.0K |
| Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 1st Place | Sanderson 92.2% | $2.0K |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case? | By December 31 34% | $2.0K |
| Which Senate races will be within 5%? | Texas 75.5% | $2.0K |
| María Corina Machado enters Venezuela? | By December 31 36% | $1.9K |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement? | By October 31 13% | $1.9K |
| FL-26 House Election Winner | Mario Díaz-Balart (R) 87% | $1.9K |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Yes 6.5% | $1.9K |
| Will Israel election happen as scheduled? | Yes 88.2% | $1.9K |
| Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner | Lai Jui-lung 64% | $1.8K |
| ME-02 House Election Winner | Paul LePage (R) 62.5% | $1.8K |
| Macron out? | By December 31, 2026 4.9% | $1.8K |
| Maynas Mayoral Election Winner | Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo 97.5% | $1.8K |
| Quebec General Election: PLQ # Seats? | 32-35 42% | $1.7K |
| Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? | Yes 2.2% | $1.7K |
| How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections? | 22–23 32.5% | $1.7K |
| OH-01 House Election Winner | Greg Landsman (D) 87.2% | $1.7K |
| TX-25 House Election Winner | Roger Williams (R) 95.5% | $1.7K |
| Mississippi Senate Election Winner | Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) 90.5% | $1.6K |
| Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026? | Dong Jun 8.9% | $1.6K |
| CA-27 House Election Winner | George Whitesides (D) 95% | $1.6K |
| 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? | Jean-Luc Mélenchon 94.2% | $1.6K |
| How many Israeli elections before government formed? | 1 66% | $1.6K |
| When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary? | November 30 70% | $1.6K |
| CA-30 House Election Winner | Laura Friedman (D) 95.5% | $1.6K |
| Andrew Tate released from custody? | By December 31 7.5% | $1.6K |
| Blue tsunami in 2026? | Yes 53% | $1.6K |
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | Yes 5.5% | $1.6K |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba? | By December 31 11% | $1.5K |
| NY-22 House Election Winner | John Mannion (D) 92.5% | $1.5K |
| Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary? | Anna Kelly 22.5% | $1.5K |
| Who will Trump speak to by October 31? | Friedrich Merz 97.1% | $1.5K |
| Next Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay (Port Elizabeth)? | Retief Odendaal 37.5% | $1.5K |
| MN-06 House Election Winner | Tom Emmer (R) 95% | $1.5K |
| US military draft authorized in 2026? | Yes 4.0% | $1.5K |
| Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027? | Yes 70.5% | $1.5K |
| How many House seats will the Democrats win in California? | 48 73% | $1.4K |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency? | By December 31 29.5% | $1.4K |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran? | By December 31 2.1% | $1.4K |
| Russia military action against EU country? | By December 31, 2027 26.5% | $1.4K |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder? | By December 31, 2027 20.5% | $1.4K |
| MA-09 House Election Winner | Bill Keating (D) 95.7% | $1.4K |
| Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner | Leonardo Montañez Castro 41% | $1.4K |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi? | By December 31 76.5% | $1.3K |
| New Zealand Election: 2nd Place | Labour Party 43% | $1.3K |
| Next Croat President of Bosnia and Herzegovina? | Darijana Filipović 98.6% | $1.3K |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy? | By December 31 5.0% | $1.3K |
| Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee | Raphael Glucksmann 85.5% | $1.3K |
| OH-13 House Election Winner | Emilia Sykes (D) 98.3% | $1.3K |
| OH-07 House Election Winner | Brian Poindexter (D) 81% | $1.3K |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske? | By December 31 70.5% | $1.3K |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin? | By December 31 7.5% | $1.3K |
| Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026? | Germany 16.5% | $1.2K |
| How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? | 4 66.6% | $1.2K |
| How many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan? | 9 31.5% | $1.2K |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast? | By June 30, 2027 11% | $1.2K |
| NM-02 House Election Winner | Gabe Vasquez (D) 95.5% | $1.2K |
| Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place? | UAE 55% | $1.2K |
| How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026? | 37% 93.8% | $1.2K |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | Yes 12.5% | $1.2K |
| Who will announce Presidential run before 2028? | Andy Beshear 89.1% | $1.2K |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | Yes 5.0% | $1.2K |
| Trump meets with Putin? | By December 31 81.5% | $1.1K |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | Yes 0.9% | $1.1K |
| How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027? | Below 4.7% 14.5% | $1.1K |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats? | Yes 95% | $1.1K |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | Yes 2.1% | $1.1K |
| IN-04 House Election Winner | Jim Baird (R) 94.5% | $1.1K |
| Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? | Yes 11.5% | $1.1K |
| Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal? | No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026 82.5% | $1.1K |
| KS-01 House Election Winner | Tracey Mann (R) 95.5% | $1.1K |
| Tennessee Senate Election Winner | Bill Hagerty (R) 94% | $1.1K |
| Idaho Senate Election Winner | Jim Risch (R) 94.7% | $1.1K |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | Yes 5.5% | $1.0K |
| Trujillo Mayoral Election Winner | Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera 98.7% | $1.0K |
| Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate? | By December 31 6.6% | $1.0K |
| Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place | Marcel Van Hattem 95.5% | $1.0K |
| Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027? | The Netherlands 11% | $1.0K |
| Tlaxcala Governor Election Winner | Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera 53% | $1.0K |
| Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election? | No Endorsement 84% | $1.0K |
| Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? | AfD 42% | $998 |
| Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…? | December 31 17% | $993 |
| VA-05 House Election Winner | John McGuire (R) 78% | $992 |
| CO-03 House Election Winner | Jeff Hurd (R) 72.5% | $942 |
| Next Secretary-General of the United Nations | Rebeca Grynspan 49% | $929 |
| ND-AL House Election Winner | Julie Fedorchak (R) 95.8% | $928 |
| New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner | Bruce Blakeman (R) 59.5% | $926 |
| How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms? | 47–49 and 193–207 32.1% | $919 |
| Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? | Yes 4.0% | $896 |
| US strike on Colombia? | By December 31 14.5% | $895 |
| South Dakota Senate Election Winner | Mike Rounds (R) 92.2% | $891 |
| LAPTOP listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE? | Bybit 2.0% | $869 |
| Will Trump publicly insult someone? | October 13 93% | $862 |
| Tim Walz charged? | By Before 2027 3.1% | $841 |
| Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31? | Kuwait 10.5% | $839 |
| Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner | PL 99.9%+ | $838 |
| Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? | Yes 1.8% | $835 |
| Who will Trump meet with by October 31? | Sam Altman 32% | $826 |
| FL-20 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 45-50% 35% | $821 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes 4.5% | $808 |
| Mexico Legislative Election Winner | Morena 85% | $805 |
| CA-28 House Election Winner | Judy Chu (D) 96.6% | $802 |
| FL-06 House Election Winner | Randy Fine (R) 95% | $800 |
| TX-23 House Election Winner | Brandon Herrera (R) 62.5% | $794 |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? | Yes 2.9% | $787 |
| IN-09 House Election Winner | Erin Houchin (R) 94.5% | $782 |
| Which companies will the US take a stake in? | Unusual Machines 53.5% | $769 |
| Will Trump be impeached? | By December 31, 2027 58.5% | $768 |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk? | By December 31 33.5% | $753 |
| Republican VP Nominee 2028 | Marco Rubio 29.5% | $739 |
| TX-06 House Election Winner | Jake Ellzey (R) 95.4% | $738 |
| UT-02 House Election Winner | Blake Moore (R) 93.5% | $730 |
| IN-03 House Election Winner | Marlin Stutzman (R) 94.9% | $720 |
| Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition? | Paramount 99% | $714 |
| Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next? | No meeting by December 31, 2027 81.5% | $706 |
| Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026? | Nebraska 99.9%+ | $705 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes 8.5% | $701 |
| FL-22 House Election Winner | Pia Dandiya (D) 53.5% | $694 |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | Yes 8.0% | $694 |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | Yes 72.5% | $692 |
| Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | Elif Eralp 80.5% | $690 |
| 2026 Midterms: House Turnout | 115-120m 32% | $686 |
| Next President of the National Rally in 2026? | Jordan Bardella 97% | $675 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm? | By December 31, 2026 12.5% | $669 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by..? | December 31 10.5% | $659 |
| FL-07 House Election Winner | Ryan Elijah (R) 65% | $657 |
| US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? | Yes 4.5% | $645 |
| CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual) | Doris Matsui 58% | $637 |
| NJ-09 House Election Winner | Nellie Pou (D) 97.7% | $633 |
| US Announces Diesel Export ban? | By December 31 11.5% | $623 |
| New Hampshire Senate Election Winner | Chris Pappas (D) 87% | $608 |
| Ohio Senate Election: Turnout | 4.8M-4.95M 34.2% | $603 |
| Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? | Yes 50.5% | $595 |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? | Yes 4.4% | $594 |
| How many people will Trump deport in 2026? | 400-500k 61% | $582 |
| FL-28 House Election Winner | Carlos Giménez (R) 94% | $578 |
| Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027? | Indonesia 13% | $577 |
| Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? | Yes 3.9% | $575 |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? | Yes 4.5% | $567 |
| Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? | Yes 4.0% | $564 |
| Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? | Yes 7.0% | $559 |
| Next Prime Minister of Italy? | Giorgia Meloni 55% | $556 |
| Prešov Mayoral Election Winner | František Oľha 56% | $552 |
| AR-01 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 35-40% 33.5% | $546 |
| CA-06 House Election Winner | Democratic Party 94.9% | $527 |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | Yes 4.0% | $520 |
| NE-01 House Election Winner | Mike Flood (R) 86% | $516 |
| Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner | Lorenzo Pazolini 90% | $516 |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October? | 25 bps increase 56.5% | $516 |
| GA-03 House Election Winner | Brian Jack (R) 95.5% | $508 |
| Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? | Florida 98.6% | $507 |
| Huon Valley Mayoral Election Winner | Paul Gibson 37.5% | $507 |
| New York Governor Election Winner | Kathy Hochul (D) 96.1% | $506 |
| NATO article 5 before 2027? | Yes 5.9% | $504 |
| How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary? | 4-6 88.1% | $500 |
| CA-34 House Election Winner (Individual) | Angela Gonzales-Torres 77.5% | $498 |
| VA-03 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 45-50% 28% | $486 |
| MN-02 House Election Winner | Matt Little (D) 91.8% | $481 |
| NE-02 House Election Winner | Denise Powell (D) 91.5% | $479 |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | Yes 6.0% | $469 |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes 98% | $466 |
| DE-AL House Election Winner | Democratic Party 99.5% | $462 |
| AK-AL House Election Winner | Republican Party 84.5% | $458 |
| Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | Yes 0.8% | $457 |
| SAVE Act becomes law? | By December 31 3.8% | $454 |
| North Carolina Senate Election Winner | Roy Cooper (D) 96.2% | $440 |
| Which bills will become law in 2026? | AI-chip export licensing 31% | $436 |
| SC-02 House Election Winner | Joe Wilson (R) 87% | $435 |
| US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief? | By October 31 12% | $431 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 21.5% | $430 |
| Next Mayor of Brno | Jakub Hruška 44% | $430 |
| Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man? | Chris Thomas 33% | $429 |
| Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? | Anthony Albanese 43.5% | $426 |
| KY-03 House Election Winner | Morgan McGarvey (D) 96.1% | $418 |
| Will Trump launch a coin by ___? | December 31, 2026 9.0% | $413 |
| NC-07 House Election Winner | David Rouzer (R) 85% | $413 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | Yes 3.0% | $412 |
| CA-11 House Election Winner | Democratic Party 99% | $412 |
| Next President of Estonia? | Ülle Madise 99% | $411 |
| US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey? | By December 31 38% | $410 |
| NJ-07 House Election Winner | Rebecca Bennett (D) 90.5% | $398 |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic? | By December 31 9.0% | $397 |
| Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? | Democratic 64.5% | $390 |
| Saanich, BC Mayoral Election Winner | Zac de Vries 56.5% | $389 |
| MS-03 House Election Winner | Michael Guest (R) 98.8% | $389 |
| Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? | Yes 2.9% | $383 |
| NC-09 House Election Winner | Richard Hudson (R) 82% | $382 |
| Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | CATL 41% | $380 |
| Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? | Yes 10.5% | $377 |
| Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner | Mark Sutcliffe 83% | $370 |
| Next Mayor of Johannesburg? | Helen Zille 67.5% | $367 |
| OH-06 House Election Winner | Michael Rulli (R) 95% | $360 |
| FL-27 House Election Winner | María Elvira Salazar (R) 64% | $359 |
| TX-09 House Election Winner | Alex Mealer (R) 81.5% | $353 |
| Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina? | Željka Cvijanović 99.6% | $351 |
| TX-16 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 35-40% 33.6% | $349 |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | Yes 51% | $347 |
| Will Russia capture Sloviansk? | By December 31 4.8% | $346 |
| Mike Johnson out as Speaker? | By October 31, 2026 12% | $345 |
| France United Left Primary Winner | Canceled 91.8% | $336 |
| Will Russia enter Havrylivka? | By December 31 12.5% | $336 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes <0.1% | $336 |
| New Zealand legislative election winner? | Labour Party 55.5% | $332 |
| Acre Governor Election Winner | Mailza Assis 92.7% | $329 |
| Kamloops, BC Mayoral Election Winner | Mike O'Reilly 65.5% | $328 |
| NV-02 House Election Winner | David Flippo (R) 79.5% | $324 |
| Will any country leave NATO? | By December 31, 2026 2.9% | $324 |
| MS-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round) | Republican 20-25% 24% | $321 |
| Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe? | By December 31 13% | $320 |
| OR-05 House Election Winner | Janelle Bynum (D) 94.2% | $319 |
| Next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands | Mark Brown 97.7% | $316 |
| Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet? | John Healey 13.5% | $313 |
| TX-15 House Election Winner | Bobby Pulido (D) 79.5% | $306 |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026? | Yes 3.6% | $305 |
| U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal? | By December 31 7.7% | $302 |
| How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala? | 2 42% | $300 |
| How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? | 6 52% | $295 |
| Federal Gas Tax Suspended? | By November 2 0.4% | $292 |
| TN-07 House Election Winner | Matt Van Epps (R) 96.8% | $292 |
| Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung? | By December 31 93.8% | $282 |
| Winnipeg Mayoral Election | Scott Gillingham 63.5% | $281 |
| Democratic VP Nominee 2028 | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 10.5% | $280 |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman? | By December 31 2.8% | $279 |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December? | 25 bps increase 56.5% | $272 |
| Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? | Yes 3.2% | $269 |
| Sonora Governor Election Winner | Lorenia Valles Sampedro 57.5% | $269 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations? | By December 31, 2026 5.1% | $268 |
| Next Mayor of Ekurhuleni (Germiston)? | Xolani Khumalo 25.7% | $265 |
| Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister? | By December 31 55.5% | $260 |
| Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody? | By December 31 7.0% | $256 |
| PA-17 House Election Winner | Chris Deluzio (D) 95.3% | $255 |
| NY-03 House Election Winner | Tom Suozzi (D) 87.5% | $255 |
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested? | By December 31 27.8% | $253 |
| Revelstoke, BC Mayoral Election Winner | Gary Sulz 54.5% | $250 |
| How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026? | 1-100 72.9% | $248 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes 12.5% | $244 |
| Kansas Governor Election Winner | Ty Masterson (R) 73.5% | $242 |
| How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary? | 10-12 77.5% | $239 |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela? | By December 31 6.5% | $238 |
| MO-02 House Election Winner | Ann Wagner (R) 73.5% | $235 |
| KY-06 House Election Winner | Ralph Alvarado (R) 72.5% | $234 |
| IA-04 House Election Winner | Chris McGowan (R) 95% | $234 |
| NH-01 House Election Winner | Stefany Shaheen (D) 94% | $230 |
| Federal District Governor Election Winner | Celina Leão 96.5% | $230 |
| Kaduna, Nigeria Governor Election Winner | Uba Sani 53.5% | $228 |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | Yes 83.2% | $226 |
| Who will Bernie endorse? | Alan Grayson - FL-Sen 24.7% | $223 |
| US x Cuba economic deal? | By December 31 11% | $219 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027? | Yes 2.1% | $219 |
| Next Mayor of Mangaung (Bloemfontein)? | Werner Pretorius 34% | $219 |
| Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium? | By December 31, 2028 21.5% | $218 |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | Yes 2.4% | $218 |
| How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? | Above 60 8.5% | $214 |
| Next Regional Board Chair of Värmland? | Åsa Johansson 92.5% | $214 |
| OH-10 House Election Winner | Mike Turner (R) 84.5% | $213 |
| India strike on Pakistan? | By December 31, 2026 14.5% | $211 |
| Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania? | PSD 81.2% | $206 |
| ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026? | Not Extended & Democratic Party 92.5% | $205 |
| National Rally Group Seat Count after French Senate Election? | 13+ 96.2% | $203 |
| Ukraine election held? | By December 31, 2026 3.9% | $201 |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | Yes 16.5% | $200 |
| MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 3%+ 95.5% | $198 |
| South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner | Kamala Harris 28% | $196 |
| CA-22 House Election Winner | Randy Villegas (D) 93% | $195 |
| Minnesota Governor Election Winner | Amy Klobuchar (D) 95.5% | $194 |
| Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order? | By December 31 12% | $188 |
| Louisiana Senate Election Winner | Julia Letlow (R) 93% | $188 |
| Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner? | By December 31 53% | $188 |
| WA-03 House Election Winner | Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D) 89.5% | $188 |
| NY-18 House Election Winner | Pat Ryan (D) 94.8% | $188 |
| Oregon Governor Election Winner | Tina Kotek (D) 75.5% | $186 |
| Nuevo León Governor Election Winner | Adrián de la Garza Santos 28.5% | $186 |
| Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? | Raphael Warnock 12.3% | $184 |
| MD-04 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 80-85% 32% | $180 |
| Massachusetts Governor Election Winner | Maura Healey (D) 96.2% | $180 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | Yes 1.7% | $179 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Yes 11.5% | $179 |
| OR-04 House Election Winner | Val Hoyle (D) 94.5% | $175 |
| JD Vance out as VP? | By December 31 3.8% | $173 |
| NC-05 House Election Winner | Virginia Foxx (R) 84.5% | $170 |
| Zacatecas Governor Election Winner | Verónica Díaz Robles 47.5% | $170 |
| NJ-03 House Election Winner | Herb Conaway (D) 97.5% | $165 |
| CA-47 House Election Winner | Dave Min (D) 95.5% | $165 |
| TX-35 House Election Winner | Johnny Garcia (D) 61% | $163 |
| TX-12 House Election Winner | Craig Goldman (R) 95.2% | $160 |
| Maduro Prison Time? | No prison time 62.5% | $159 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | Yes 18% | $156 |
| MA-02 House Election Winner | Jim McGovern (D) 96% | $155 |
| IN-01 House Election Winner | Frank Mrvan (D) 97.2% | $155 |
| NJ-05 House Election Winner | Josh Gottheimer (D) 96.8% | $155 |
| SC-01 House Election Winner | Jenny Costa Honeycutt (R) 70.5% | $154 |
| AL-07 House Election Winner | Terri Sewell (D) 98.3% | $154 |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament? | By December 31 16% | $153 |
| WY-AL House Election Winner | Chuck Gray (R) 97.9% | $151 |
| Next Premier of Victoria | Jess Wilson 76.5% | $150 |
| TN-09 House Election Winner | Brent Taylor (R) 88.5% | $149 |
| FL-12 House Election Winner | Gus Bilirakis (R) 85% | $148 |
| OH-09 House Election Winner | Marcy Kaptur (D) 69.5% | $145 |
| Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina? | Denis Bećirović 97.2% | $144 |
| NY-01 House Election Winner | Nick LaLota (R) 78.5% | $144 |
| Next Mayor of eThekwini (Durban)? | Mkhuleko Hlengwa 31% | $143 |
| Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | Yes 1.7% | $143 |
| WA-08 House Election Winner | Kim Schrier (D) 97.2% | $142 |
| How many House seats will the Democrats win in Pennsylvania? | 11 41.5% | $140 |
| Colorado Senate Election Winner | John Hickenlooper (D) 98% | $140 |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody? | By December 31 4.5% | $138 |
| Lecornu out as French PM? | By December 31, 2026 31.5% | $135 |
| China x India military clash? | By December 31, 2026 6.5% | $135 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile? | By December 31 7.5% | $134 |
| OR-06 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 25-30% 27.4% | $132 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO? | By December 31 3.2% | $132 |
| Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally? | By March 31 8.5% | $129 |
| Will Russia enter Krasnopillya? | By December 31 12.5% | $129 |
| Will Russia enter Mykhailivka? | By October 31 17.5% | $125 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? | Yes 6.0% | $125 |
| NV-01 House Election Winner | Dina Titus (D) 93.9% | $120 |
| IA-01 House Election Winner | Christina Bohannan (D) 85% | $120 |
| TX-05 House Election Winner | Lance Gooden (R) 96.2% | $119 |
| FL-25 House Election Winner | Jared Moskowitz (D) 75.5% | $119 |
| French election called? | By December 31, 2026 7.1% | $117 |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2.5% | $114 |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | Yes 8.5% | $110 |
| Another Canada election called? | By December 31, 2026 5.3% | $110 |
| PA-07 House Election Winner | Bob Brooks (D) 83.5% | $110 |
| French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026? | François Hollande 69.5% | $109 |
| Will Russia enter Khatnie? | By December 31 37% | $108 |
| Will Hezbollah disarm? | By December 31 4.5% | $108 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | Yes 10.9% | $105 |
| New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? | Yes 1.1% | $105 |
| How many House seats will the Democrats win in Iowa? | 3 43.5% | $104 |
| MO-05 House Election Winner | Emanuel Cleaver (D) 96% | $103 |
| VA-01 House Election Winner | Shannon Taylor (D) 50% | $103 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka? | By December 31 34% | $102 |
| Warsh out as Fed Chair by…? | June 30, 2027 9.5% | $101 |
| TX-38 House Election Winner | Jon Bonck (R) 90.5% | $100 |
| CA-42 House Election Winner | Robert Garcia (D) 96% | $100 |
| Next Prime Minister of New Zealand? | Christopher Luxon 56% | $100 |
| CA-35 House Election Winner | Norma Torres (D) 98% | $100 |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Yes 1.3% | $100 |
| VA-06 House Election Winner | Ben Cline (R) 92.5% | $96 |
| TX-24 House Election Winner | Beth Van Duyne (R) 91.5% | $95 |
| Next Prime Minister of Greece? | Kyriakos Mitsotakis 74.5% | $95 |
| Campeche Governor Election Winner | Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus 68.5% | $94 |
| Kraków Mayoral Election Winner | Łukasz Gibała 93% | $88 |
| Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? | Yes 3.3% | $88 |
| NY-11 House Election Winner | Nicole Malliotakis (R) 95.1% | $87 |
| Miaoli County Magistrate Election Winner | Chung Tung-chin 95.7% | $82 |
| Arkansas Senate Election Winner | Tom Cotton (R) 93.6% | $81 |
| UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? | Yes 2.6% | $81 |
| Next President of Kosovo? | Bekim Sejdiu 29.5% | $80 |
| Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner | Loranne Ausley 49.5% | $80 |
| CO-08 House Election Winner | Manny Rutinel (D) 86% | $80 |
| Guerrero Governor Election Winner | Beatriz Mojica Morga 85% | $80 |
| PA-16 House Election Winner | Mike Kelly (R) 91.5% | $77 |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | Yes 3.0% | $72 |
| Oshawa, ON Mayoral Election Winner | Tito-Dante Marimpietri 32% | $71 |
| TX-17 House Election Winner | Pete Sessions (R) 94.5% | $71 |
| CO-04 House Election Winner | Lauren Boebert (R) 69.5% | $71 |
| Richmond Mayoral Election | Rob Howard 54.4% | $70 |
| How many House seats will the Democrats win in Nevada? | 3 66.5% | $68 |
| IL-16 House Election Winner | Darin LaHood (R) 96% | $68 |
| IL-05 House Election Winner | Mike Quigley (D) 95.5% | $65 |
| Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election | Fernando Dias da Costa 14.8% | $65 |
| MN-04 House Election Winner | Betty McCollum (D) 96.5% | $61 |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run? | By December 31, 2026 16% | $60 |
| Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? | Željko Komšić 18.2% | $60 |
| Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028? | No Next Chancellor before 2028 68.5% | $59 |
| AZ-01 House Election Winner | Amish Shah (D) 80% | $59 |
| Iran coup attempt? | By December 31 9.5% | $58 |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed? | By December 31, 2026 2.8% | $56 |
| CA-21 House Election Winner | Jim Costa (D) 95.5% | $55 |
| Next Senate Majority Leader? | Chuck Schumer 47.5% | $55 |
| Next Prime Minister of Morocco? (Invested) | Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri 94.8% | $54 |
| Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026? | Delcy Rodríguez 93.5% | $54 |
| NY-21 House Election Winner | Anthony Constantino (R) 82% | $52 |
| VA-11 House Election Winner | James Walkinshaw (D) 97.7% | $52 |
| Prabowo Subianto out as President of Indonesia? | By June 30, 2027 7.5% | $51 |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027? | Yes 2.6% | $51 |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026? | Yes 5.0% | $50 |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? | Yes 5.0% | $50 |
| How high will inflation get in 2026? | Above 4.5% 13% | $49 |
| NJ-02 House Election Winner | Jeff Van Drew (R) 79% | $46 |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026? | 1.2m 73% | $43 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident? | By September 30 1.9% | $43 |
| WA-09 House Election Winner | Adam Smith (D) 96.7% | $42 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out? | By December 31 15.5% | $42 |
| Next Regional Board Chair of Jönköping? | Rachel De Basso 61.5% | $41 |
| FL-09 House Election Winner | Dan Green (R) 69.5% | $41 |
| Will Tim Walz resign? | By December 31 2.1% | $40 |
| Nayarit Governor Election Winner | Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez 58% | $40 |
| H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? | Yes 3.7% | $40 |
| TX-32 House Election Winner | Jace Yarbrough (R) 89.5% | $39 |
| UT-03 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 25-30% 24% | $38 |
| IA-02 House Election Winner | Lindsay James (D) 53.5% | $38 |
| How many House seats will the Democrats win in Ohio? | 6 37.5% | $36 |
| Malaysian parliament dissolved by..? | June 30, 2027 47.5% | $36 |
| Venezuela presidential election scheduled? | By December 31 11.5% | $35 |
| Alaska Senate and Governor Combo | Dems sweep 67.5% | $35 |
| Alabama Governor Election Winner | Tommy Tuberville (R) 92.3% | $35 |
| TX-02 House Election Winner | Steve Toth (R) 92% | $33 |
| US x Russia military clash? | By December 31, 2026 3.6% | $33 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Yes 28.5% | $31 |
| Colima Governor Election Winner | Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera 82.5% | $31 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba? | By December 31 12.5% | $31 |
| Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? | Yes 5.5% | $31 |
| Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? | Yes 11.5% | $30 |
| José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? | Yes 3.5% | $30 |
| NC-11 House Election Winner | Jamie Ager (D) 71% | $30 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II? | By December 31 12.5% | $27 |
| Idaho Governor Election Winner | Brad Little (R) 98% | $25 |
| US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? | Yes 9.5% | $24 |
| Baja California Governor Election Winner | Julieta Ramírez Padilla 75.3% | $24 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk? | By December 31 12% | $23 |
| NY-23 House Election Winner | Nick Langworthy (R) 95% | $22 |
| Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31? | Yes 15.9% | $21 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | Yes 4.5% | $21 |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027? | Yes 3.7% | $21 |
| NJ-01 House Election Winner | Donald Norcross (D) 96.2% | $21 |
| TX-03 House Election Winner | Keith Self (R) 94.5% | $20 |
| PA-06 House Election Winner | Chrissy Houlahan (D) 97.7% | $20 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | Yes 3.5% | $19 |
| Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster? | By December 31, 2026 6.0% | $17 |
| Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner | Amal Movement (Amal) 0.9% | $17 |
| Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___? | December 31, 2026 2.1% | $16 |
| NJ-10 House Election Winner | LaMonica McIver (D) 98.7% | $16 |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | Yes 6.2% | $15 |
| EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine? | By December 31 4.0% | $15 |
| Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? | Yes 4.0% | $12 |
| Next Mayor of Buffalo City (East London)? | Princess Faku 86.5% | $12 |
| Baja California Sur Governor Election Winner | Manuel Cota Cárdenas 73.8% | $12 |
| US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? | Yes 5.9% | $12 |
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske? | By December 31 2.4% | $12 |
| CA-38 House Election Winner | Hilda Solis (D) 98% | $12 |
| CA-52 House Election Winner | Juan Vargas (D) 95.9% | $12 |
| CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual) | Aisha Wahab 82.5% | $12 |
| Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney? | By December 31, 2026 33% | $11 |
| Trump on $250 bill this year? | Yes 2.4% | $11 |
| NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine? | By December 31, 2026 4.4% | $11 |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | Yes 2.1% | $10 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk? | By December 31 2.7% | $10 |
| Michoacán Governor Election Winner | Carlos Torres Piña 56% | $10 |
| CA-25 House Election Winner | Raul Ruiz (D) 96% | $10 |
| OK-01 House Election Winner | Mark Tedford (R) 94.5% | $10 |
| Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026? | Yes 9.5% | $10 |
| PA-11 House Election Winner | Lloyd Smucker (R) 94.6% | $9 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | Yes 10.5% | $7 |
| Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner | Kerry-Lynne Findlay 4.9% | $5 |
| NY-14 House Election Winner | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) 96.2% | $5 |
| IL-17 House Election Winner | Eric Sorensen (D) 96.2% | $5 |
| CA-13 House Election Winner | Adam Gray (D) 98% | $5 |
| GA-08 House Election Winner | Austin Scott (R) 95% | $5 |
| Cape Verde Presidential Election Winner | José Maria Neves 79.5% | $5 |
| MI-03 House Election Winner | Hillary Scholten (D) 96.2% | $5 |
| MO-06 House Election Winner | Chris Stigall (R) 95% | $5 |
| WA-06 House Election Winner | Emily Randall (D) 99% | $5 |
| FL-23 House Election Winner | Lois Frankel (D) 97.5% | $5 |
| MT-02 House Election Winner | Troy Downing (R) 95% | $5 |
| CA-39 House Election Winner | Mark Takano (D) 96.2% | $5 |
| NY-06 House Election Winner | Grace Meng (D) 97.4% | $5 |
| Ukraine election called? | By December 31, 2026 5.5% | $5 |
| Will Israel annex any territory? | By December 31, 2026 8.0% | $5 |
| Weed rescheduled? | By December 31 4.5% | $5 |
| Jimmy Lai released? | By December 31, 2026 5.5% | $5 |
| Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026? | Yes 5.2% | $5 |
| WI-07 House Election Winner | Michael Alfonso (R) 94.5% | $4 |
| Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30? | 10+ 7.4% | $4 |
| CA-36 House Election Winner | Ted Lieu (D) 97% | $4 |
| Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? | Yes 1.1% | $2 |
| FL-14 House Election Winner | Kathy Castor (D) 65.5% | $2 |
| Will Russia capture Kindrativka? | By December 31 36.5% | $1 |
| Who will attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? | Alex Karp 0.9% | $1 |
| Next Regional Board Chair of Örebro? | Jenny Steen 70% | $1 |
| MS-02 House Election Winner | Bennie Thompson (D) 97% | $0 |
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | Yes 3.1% | $0 |
| Epstein client list released? | By October 31 4.9% | $0 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela? | By December 31 2.9% | $0 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza? | By December 31 7.5% | $0 |
| Russia nuclear test? | By December 31, 2026 4.7% | $0 |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory? | By December 31, 2026 2.2% | $0 |
| U.S. nuclear test? | By December 31, 2026 4.7% | $0 |
| U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened? | By December 31, 2026 20% | $0 |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled? | By December 31 5.0% | $0 |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general? | By December 31, 2026 7.8% | $0 |
| Satoshi's identity be proven? | By December 31 2.3% | $0 |
| Kash Patel out? | By December 31 17.5% | $0 |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | Yes 2.6% | $0 |
| Lai Ching-te impeached? | By December 31 2.9% | $0 |
| Greece x Turkey military engagement? | By December 31 5.6% | $0 |
| US charges Hormuz fees? | By December 31 4.0% | $0 |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody? | By December 31 3.8% | $0 |
| Will Iran hold a presidential election? | By December 31 8.5% | $0 |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei? | By December 31 3.2% | $0 |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | Yes 4.7% | $0 |
| Will Netanyahu be pardoned? | By December 31 9.0% | $0 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | Yes 7.5% | $0 |
| SBF released from custody in 2026? | Yes 1.6% | $0 |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state? | Yes 2.1% | $0 |
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US? | By December 31 19% | $0 |
| Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government? | National + ACT + NZF 45.5% | $0 |
| San Luis Potosí Governor Election Winner | Ruth González Silva 64% | $0 |
| Sinaloa Governor Election Winner | Imelda Castro Castro 85.5% | $0 |
| Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner | Eugenio Segura Vázquez 80.5% | $0 |
| Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election? | J.D. Vance 49.5% | $0 |
| California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner | Fiona Ma 94.5% | $0 |
| John Fetterman out? | By December 31 2.9% | $0 |
| TN-04 House Election Winner | Scott DesJarlais (R) 95.8% | $0 |
| AL-05 House Election Winner | Dale Strong (R) 95.5% | $0 |
| Jerome Powell federally charged? | By December 31, 2026 1.4% | $0 |
| Senate passes Clarity Act? | By October 31 1.2% | $0 |
| Will Russia enter Borova? | By December 31 15.5% | $0 |
| Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30? | Letitia James 32% | $0 |
| CA-20 House Election Winner | Vince Fong (R) 97% | $0 |
| NM-03 House Election Winner | Teresa Leger Fernández (D) 97.2% | $0 |
| Delaware Senate Election Winner | Democrat 98.5% | $0 |
| 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff Election Winner | Robert Luna 96.4% | $0 |
| TN-05 House Election Winner | Charlie Hatcher (R) 91.5% | $0 |
| NY-26 House Election Winner | Tim Kennedy (D) 96.5% | $0 |
| RI-01 House Election Winner | Gabe Amo (D) 97.6% | $0 |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027? | Yes 5.2% | $0 |
| Who will Trump publicly praise in September? | Benjamin Netanyahu 25% | $0 |
| Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? | Yes 3.2% | $0 |
| TN-08 House Election Winner | David Kustoff (R) 95.7% | $0 |
| AZ-07 House Election Winner | Adelita Grijalva (D) 95.7% | $0 |
| Netanyahu arrested by…? | December 31 4.5% | $0 |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | Yes 4.3% | $0 |
| Next Regional Board Chair of Sörmland? | Christoffer Öqvist 71.5% | $0 |
| Closest Governor's Race? | Florida 100% | $0 |
| CA-19 House Election Winner | Jimmy Panetta (D) 97.9% | $0 |
| AL-03 House Election Winner | Mike Rogers (R) 97.5% | $0 |
| St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Winner | Charlie Crist 87% | $0 |
| GA-05 House Election Winner | Nikema Williams (D) 98.8% | $0 |
| Will Argentina dollarize? | By December 31, 2026 2.6% | $0 |
| AZ-05 House Election Winner | Mark Lamb (R) 91% | $0 |
| 2026 Harris County Judge Election Winner | Letitia Plummer 87% | $0 |
| Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? | Yes 10% | $0 |
| CA-32 House Election Winner | Brad Sherman (D) 96% | $0 |
| Next Regional Board Chair of Skåne? | Carl Johan Sonesson 91.5% | $0 |
| CA-15 House Election Winner | Kevin Mullin (D) 96.6% | $0 |
| MA-04 House Election Winner | Jake Auchincloss (D) 97.2% | $0 |
| IL-01 House Election Winner | Jonathan Jackson (D) 95.1% | $0 |
| MS-04 House Election Winner | Mike Ezell (R) 96.2% | $0 |
| New Hampshire Governor Election Winner | Kelly Ayotte (R) 95.4% | $0 |
| VT-AL House Election Winner | Becca Balint (D) 98% | $0 |
| US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026? | Yes 13.5% | $0 |
| FL-15 House Election Winner | Laurel Lee (R) 92.4% | $0 |
| New Mexico Governor Election Winner | Deb Haaland (D) 95.5% | $0 |
| NY-07 House Election Winner | Claire Valdez (D) 96.8% | $0 |
| NY-25 House Election Winner | Joseph Morelle (D) 97.4% | $0 |
| MD-03 House Election Winner | Sarah Elfreth (D) 95.5% | $0 |
| OK-04 House Election Winner | Tom Cole (R) 96.9% | $0 |
| Will Trump visit North Korea? | By December 31 8.3% | $0 |
| ID-02 House Election Winner | Mike Simpson (R) 95.5% | $0 |
| AZ-09 House Election Winner | Paul Gosar (R) 94.5% | $0 |
| CA-50 House Election Winner | Scott Peters (D) 95.2% | $0 |
| AR-03 House Election Winner | Steve Womack (R) 95.5% | $0 |
| TX-14 House Election Winner | Randy Weber (R) 96.7% | $0 |
| NJ-11 House Election Winner | Analilia Mejia (D) 95.5% | $0 |
| CA-46 House Election Winner | Lou Correa (D) 95.5% | $0 |
| TX-08 House Election Winner | Jessica Hart Steinmann (R) 95.5% | $0 |
| NM-01 House Election Winner | Melanie Stansbury (D) 95.9% | $0 |
| MI-06 House Election Winner | Debbie Dingell (D) 97.6% | $0 |
| KY-04 House Election Winner | Ed Gallrein (R) 96.2% | $0 |
| CA-24 House Election Winner | Salud Carbajal (D) 97.6% | $0 |
| NY-12 House Election Winner | Micah Lasher (D) 97.7% | $0 |
| VA-08 House Election Winner | Don Beyer (D) 95.8% | $0 |
| NC-04 House Election Winner | Valerie Foushee (D) 96.4% | $0 |
| CA-18 House Election Winner | Zoe Lofgren (D) 98.5% | $0 |
| KS-03 House Election Winner | Sharice Davids (D) 95.5% | $0 |
| 2026 Tarrant County Judge Election Winner | Alisa Simmons 55.5% | $0 |
| MO-07 House Election Winner | Eric Burlison (R) 96.2% | $0 |
| NC-03 House Election Winner | Greg Murphy (R) 86% | $0 |
| CA-01 House Election Winner | Mike McGuire (D) 94% | $0 |
| TX-07 House Election Winner | Lizzie Fletcher (D) 96.5% | $0 |
| Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026? | Yes 1.9% | $0 |
| CA-08 House Election Winner | John Garamendi (D) 96.4% | $0 |
| RI-02 House Election Winner | Seth Magaziner (D) 96.3% | $0 |
| GA-12 House Election Winner | Rick Allen (R) 91.5% | $0 |
| MO-04 House Election Winner | Mark Alford (R) 92.5% | $0 |
| Will Russia capture Havrylivka? | By December 31 5.1% | $0 |
| China coup attempt before 2027? | Yes 3.7% | $0 |
| Total Internet Blackout in Iran? | By December 31 20.5% | $0 |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | Yes 12.5% | $0 |
| CO-01 House Election Winner | Melat Kiros (D) 97.7% | $0 |
| US announces Cuba oil sanction relief? | By June 30 0.0% | $0 |
| CA-48 House Election Winner | Marni von Wilpert (D) 89.5% | $0 |
| Tim Walz in jail? | By December 31, 2026 2.8% | $0 |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member? | By December 31 9.0% | $0 |
| OPEC dissolves in 2026? | Yes 3.9% | $0 |
| 2026 Montgomery County Judge Election Winner | Mark Keough 95.7% | $0 |
| NY-24 House Election Winner | Claudia Tenney (R) 94.5% | $0 |
| 2026 Fort Bend County Judge Election Winner | Dexter McCoy 84% | $0 |
| 2026 El Paso County Judge Election Winner | Ricardo Samaniego 95.9% | $0 |
| Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | Yes 93.8% | $0 |
| 2026 Fulton County Commission Chair Election Winner | Mo Ivory 96.2% | $0 |
| TN-02 House Election Winner | Tim Burchett (R) 95.5% | $0 |
| Trump goes to space in 2026? | Yes 2.2% | $0 |
| TX-20 House Election Winner | Joaquin Castro (D) 96.4% | $0 |
| TX-31 House Election Winner | John Carter (R) 95.5% | $0 |
| TX-19 House Election Winner | Tom Sell (R) 98.5% | $0 |
| KY-05 House Election Winner | Hal Rogers (R) 96.8% | $0 |
| NC-02 House Election Winner | Deborah Ross (D) 98.8% | $0 |
| SC-03 House Election Winner | Sheri Biggs (R) 95.5% | $0 |
| UT-01 House Election Winner | Ben McAdams (D) 96.5% | $0 |
| WA-10 House Election Winner | Marilyn Strickland (D) 96.8% | $0 |
| MD-05 House Election Winner | Adrian Boafo (D) 96.1% | $0 |
| NJ-06 House Election Winner | Frank Pallone (D) 97.8% | $0 |
| MA-01 House Election Winner | Richard Neal (D) 95.5% | $0 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi? | By December 31 20% | $0 |
| CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual) | Sydney Kamlager-Dove 96.5% | $0 |
| OH-04 House Election Winner | Jim Jordan (R) 95.5% | $0 |
| OK-02 House Election Winner | Josh Brecheen (R) 97.8% | $0 |
| OH-12 House Election Winner | Troy Balderson (R) 94.5% | $0 |
| Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? | Yes 8.0% | $0 |
| Kentucky Senate Election Winner | Andy Barr (R) 96.5% | $0 |
| Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport? | By December 31 10.5% | $0 |
| TX-01 House Election Winner | Nathaniel Moran (R) 96.5% | $0 |
| PA-02 House Election Winner | Brendan Boyle (D) 97% | $0 |
| Maryland Governor Election Winner | Wes Moore (D) 96.7% | $0 |
| CA-41 House Election Winner | Linda Sánchez (D) 95.5% | $0 |
| CA-43 House Election Winner | Maxine Waters (D) 95% | $0 |
| SC-06 House Election Winner | Jim Clyburn (D) 95.9% | $0 |
| WA-01 House Election Winner | Suzan DelBene (D) 96.9% | $0 |
| MN-05 House Election Winner | Ilhan Omar (D) 98.7% | $0 |
| Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve? | By December 31 4.8% | $0 |
| NY-19 House Election Winner | Josh Riley (D) 98.8% | $0 |
| CA-45 House Election Winner | Derek Tran (D) 94.5% | $0 |
| TX-10 House Election Winner | Chris Gober (R) 90.5% | $0 |
| James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? | Yes 1.1% | $0 |
| Maine Governor Election Winner | Hannah Pingree (D) 95% | $0 |
| GA-09 House Election Winner | Andrew Clyde (R) 95.5% | $0 |
| NY-20 House Election Winner | Paul Tonko (D) 97.4% | $0 |
| IL-11 House Election Winner | Bill Foster (D) 95.5% | $0 |
| IL-13 House Election Winner | Nikki Budzinski (D) 95.5% | $0 |
| Will any country join the Mecca Agreement? | By December 31 21% | $0 |
| CA-26 House Election Winner | Jacqui Irwin (D) 95.5% | $0 |
| US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? | Yes 10.5% | $0 |
| CA-09 House Election Winner | Josh Harder (D) 97.9% | $0 |
| 2026 Lexington Mayoral Election Winner | Linda Gorton 77.5% | $0 |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | Yes 4.0% | $0 |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? | Yes 2.7% | $0 |
| EU dissolves before 2027? | Yes 1.7% | $0 |
| OH-14 House Election Winner | David Joyce (R) 96.2% | $0 |
| MN-01 House Election Winner | Brad Finstad (R) 75.5% | $0 |
| NJ-12 House Election Winner | Adam Hamawy (D) 96.5% | $0 |
| WI-02 House Election Winner | Mark Pocan (D) 98.7% | $0 |
| MD-04 House Election Winner | Glenn Ivey (D) 97.5% | $0 |
| GA-01 House Election Winner | Jim Kingston (R) 89% | $0 |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | Yes 5.5% | $0 |
Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice.