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Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Crypto · Market end date: January 1, 2028
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31, 2027 at 43.5%, followed by June 30, 2027 at 35.5%, December 31, 2026 at 6.5%. The market has $8.02M in total volume and $901 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 43.5% | — | $46.8K |
| June 30, 2027 | 35.5% | — | $24.7K |
| December 31, 2026 | 6.5% | +0.5 pts | $753.4K |
| December 31, 2025 (settled) | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $4.89M |
| June 30, 2026 (settled) | 0.0% | — | $1.75M |
| September 30, 2026 (settled) | 0.0% | — | $552.9K |
Total volume $8.02M · 24h volume $901 · Liquidity $30.0K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ December 31, 2027 ■ June 30, 2027 ■ December 31, 2026 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Base officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Token Launches & FDV odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31, 2027 at 43.5%, followed by June 30, 2027 at 35.5%, December 31, 2026 at 6.5%. The market has $8.02M in total volume and $901 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2028. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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