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Updated October 6, 2026 · 72 live markets · refreshed twice a day
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 72 live Music markets with $58.2K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of October 17 (Patient Zero - Taylor Swift 72.9%), followed by Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of October 17 (Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 75%), Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? (Yes 1.6%).
Music: charts, album releases and music awards. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.
| Market | Leading outcome | 24h change | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of October 17 | Patient Zero - Taylor Swift 72.9% | +18.9 pts | $15.8K | Oct 13, 2026 |
| Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of October 17 | Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 75% | +30.0 pts | $9.0K | Oct 13, 2026 |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | Yes 1.6% | -0.1 pts | $4.6K | Nov 1, 2026 |
| CMA Music Video of the Year 2026 | Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) 50.5% | — | $3.8K | Nov 19, 2026 |
| Taylor Swift daily view count hits ___ in October? | ↑24M 20% | -17.0 pts | $3.0K | Oct 31, 2026 |
| Taylor Swift monthly listeners hits __ by October 31? | ↑ 107m 53.5% | -29.0 pts | $2.9K | Oct 31, 2026 |
| #2 Spotify song in the US this week? (October 9) | Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 94% | +1.5 pts | $2.9K | Oct 9, 2026 |
| Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of October 17 | The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore 86.5% | -0.1 pts | $2.4K | Oct 13, 2026 |
| Eurovision 2027 Participants | Canada 96.4% | -0.1 pts | $1.9K | Jun 1, 2027 |
| Who will be featured on GTA VI: The Album? | Kodak Black 88% | +10.0 pts | $1.7K | Nov 27, 2026 |
| Top Spotify Artist 2026 | Bad Bunny 84.5% | -1.5 pts | $1.6K | Feb 1, 2027 |
| Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Winner | you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo 44.5% | — | $1.4K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| #2 Spotify Artist 2026 | Drake 78% | +1.5 pts | $1.1K | Feb 1, 2027 |
| Who will headline Coachella 2027? | Dua Lipa 75.5% | — | $705 | Feb 1, 2027 |
| Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner | Ella Langley 63.5% | — | $598 | Jul 1, 2027 |
| CMA New Artist of the Year 2026 | Stephen Wilson Jr. 49.5% | — | $515 | Nov 19, 2026 |
| #2 Spotify Artist in October? | The Weeknd 44.5% | -2.0 pts | $512 | Oct 31, 2026 |
| Top Spotify Album 2026 | Debí Tirar Más Fotos 89.5% | — | $422 | Feb 1, 2027 |
| 'GTA VI: The Album' First Week Sales? | 25k+ 92.5% | — | $415 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Which artists will release new albums in 2026? | Lil Uzi Vert 56% | +0.5 pts | $387 | Jan 2, 2027 |
| CMA Entertainer of the Year 2026 | Ella Langley 67% | — | $342 | Nov 19, 2026 |
| Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year? | Mariah Carey 95.7% | — | $196 | Jan 2, 2027 |
| Which artists will release a new song in 2026? | Nicki Minaj 69% | +8.9 pts | $190 | Jan 2, 2027 |
| Songs on GTA VI Radio at Launch? | Mask Off 43% | -2.0 pts | $188 | Dec 4, 2026 |
| #2 Spotify song this week? (October 9) | Patient Zero - Taylor Swift 97.5% | +1.6 pts | $185 | Oct 9, 2026 |
| Top Spotify Song 2026 | End of Beginning – Djo 75.6% | — | $178 | Feb 1, 2027 |
| Junior Eurovision Winner 2026 | Poland 23.5% | -6.0 pts | $168 | Aug 1, 2027 |
| Billboard #1 Artist 2026 | Morgan Wallen 76.8% | -3.0 pts | $167 | Apr 1, 2027 |
| Who will perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | Miley Cyrus 76.5% | +26.2 pts | $160 | Apr 1, 2027 |
| Which KPop groups will release songs in 2026? | NewJeans 51.5% | — | $127 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? | Yes 7.5% | -6.0 pts | $100 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| CMA Single of the Year 2026 | Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) 81.5% | — | $93 | Nov 19, 2026 |
| #2 Spotify Song 2026 | Babydoll – Dominic Fike 73.5% | +1.0 pts | $91 | Feb 1, 2027 |
| Dua Lipa pregnant in 2026? | Yes 15.5% | -2.5 pts | $67 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Taylor Swift pregnant? | By December 31, 2026 10% | — | $53 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| #1 Spotify song in the US this week? (October 9) | Patient Zero - Taylor Swift 96.2% | +0.4 pts | $52 | Oct 9, 2026 |
| #3 Spotify Artist 2026 | Taylor Swift 74.5% | — | $44 | Feb 1, 2027 |
| Top Spotify Artist in October? | Bruno Mars 97.3% | -0.6 pts | $42 | Oct 31, 2026 |
| #2 US Spotify Song 2026 | Earrings – Malcom Todd 82.5% | -0.5 pts | $40 | Feb 1, 2027 |
| CMA Musical Event of the Year 2026 | A Song To Sing (Miranda Lambert and Chris Stapleton) 45% | +4.0 pts | $35 | Nov 19, 2026 |
32 smaller markets are not shown; all 72 are in the JSON data.
For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.
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Taylor Swift · Morgan Wallen · Ariana Grande · Kanye West · Bad Bunny · Kendrick Lamar · Frank Ocean · Bruno Mars · Sabrina Carpenter · Chappell Roan · Billie Eilish
Movies & Box Office (70) · Awards (91) · Celebrities & Creators (81) · Pop Culture (97)
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 72 live Music markets with $58.2K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of October 17 (Patient Zero - Taylor Swift 72.9%), followed by Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of October 17 (Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 75%), Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? (Yes 1.6%).
72 live markets as of October 6, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.
From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.
Paste this on your site or newsletter — it shows the five most-traded Music markets and updates twice a day.
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/topic/music/" width="100%" height="280" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Music odds on Polymarket"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/music/">Music odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/topics/music.json — every live market on the topic, CC BY 4.0 (credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link). See the developer docs.
Markdown for READMEs and newsletters:
[](https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/music/)
Polymarket View, “Music odds on Polymarket”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/music/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
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