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Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: not specified
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Notre Dame at 90.5%, followed by Miami (FL) at 88.5%, Texas at 87.5%. The market has $24.0K in total volume and $81 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame | 90.5% | +0.5 pts | $75 |
| Miami (FL) | 88.5% | +2.5 pts | $90 |
| Texas | 87.5% | +2.0 pts | $519 |
| Ohio St. | 82% | +0.5 pts | $928 |
| Indiana | 76% | -0.5 pts | $99 |
| Alabama | 69.5% | -3.5 pts | $661 |
| Oregon | 54.5% | +1.5 pts | $665 |
| Utah | 48% | +1.5 pts | $821 |
| Texas Tech | 45.5% | -8.5 pts | $289 |
| LSU | 44.5% | -2.0 pts | $1.9K |
| Ole Miss | 38.5% | +1.0 pts | $301 |
| BYU | 32.5% | -7.0 pts | $971 |
| Florida | 30% | +3.0 pts | $191 |
| Tennessee | 26% | — | $77 |
| James Madison | 20% | -0.5 pts | $205 |
19 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $24.0K · 24h volume $81 · Liquidity $154.6K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Notre Dame ■ Miami (FL) ■ Texas · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team is selected to participate in the 2026 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
If the selected team does not participate in the College Football Playoffs for any reason, this market will resolve "No".
If the College Football Playoff for the 2026 season is canceled or the participating teams cannot be determined by December 20, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: College Football odds · Sports odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Notre Dame at 90.5%, followed by Miami (FL) at 88.5%, Texas at 87.5%. The market has $24.0K in total volume and $81 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is not specified. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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