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Science & Space Odds on Polymarket
Updated October 6, 2026 · 97 live markets · refreshed twice a day
Science, space launches, climate, pandemics and other science questions. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.
Live Science & Space markets
| Market | Leading outcome | 24h change | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist? | By December 31 3.1% | — | $153.4K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| New pandemic in 2026? | Yes 7.5% | +2.0 pts | $33.7K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next? | No solution by Dec 31, 2027 38.5% | +12.5 pts | $18.5K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Confirmed pneumonic plague case in Russia? | By October 31, 2026 24.5% | -5.0 pts | $16.0K | Nov 1, 2026 |
| OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution? | By December 31, 2027 61.5% | +11.0 pts | $15.2K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Plague pandemic in 2026? | Yes 5.5% | — | $7.6K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| When will the first hurricane form in the Atlantic in 2026? | October 1 to October 10, 2026 41.8% | +41.3 pts | $6.6K | Nov 1, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2.2% | -0.2 pts | $6.1K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30? | 3.00 ft or more 31.5% | +19.0 pts | $4.8K | Dec 2, 2026 |
| AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution? | By December 31, 2027 63% | -11.5 pts | $4.5K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced? | By December 31, 2027 59.5% | -3.0 pts | $4.4K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | Anthropic 50.7% | +4.3 pts | $4.3K | Jan 2, 2027 |
| Lowest Mississippi level at Baton Rouge by November 30? | 4.00 to 4.99 ft 41% | +5.0 pts | $3.8K | Dec 2, 2026 |
| What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season? | Isaias 66% | +27.5 pts | $3.2K | Nov 30, 2026 |
| Which math problems will AI solve in 2026? | Hodge Conjecture 23.5% | +2.5 pts | $3.2K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | Yes 4.2% | +0.7 pts | $3.0K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? | ↑4k 98.5% | -0.6 pts | $2.9K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Measles cases in U.S. by October 31? | 4000+ 98.9% | — | $2.8K | Nov 1, 2026 |
| SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15? | November 30, 2026 84.5% | -5.5 pts | $2.2K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | Yes 4.5% | — | $2.1K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by October 31? | 6.5+ 89% | -4.0 pts | $2.0K | Nov 1, 2026 |
| Human moon landing in 2026? | Yes 1.9% | +0.9 pts | $1.9K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | 1-3 48.5% | +16.0 pts | $1.8K | Dec 1, 2026 |
| How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026? | 0 75.5% | — | $1.7K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| How strong will Choi-wan be? | Very strong 93.5% | +8.5 pts | $1.5K | Oct 16, 2026 |
| How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026? | 35 to 49 43.5% | — | $1.4K | Apr 1, 2027 |
| Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026? | 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft 42.5% | — | $1.3K | Jan 2, 2027 |
| First snow of the 2026 season | Indianapolis, IN by November 30 96.9% | — | $1.2K | Dec 4, 2026 |
| Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___? | December 31, 2026 7.5% | -8.5 pts | $818 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño? | Over 2.5 72.5% | -1.5 pts | $801 | Apr 1, 2027 |
| Plague declared public health emergency? | By December 31 16.5% | — | $736 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season? | Louisiana 35% | +21.5 pts | $646 | Dec 8, 2026 |
| How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 5 - October 11? | ≤6 48% | +12.0 pts | $624 | Oct 12, 2026 |
| Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___? | December 31, 2028 30.5% | — | $547 | Jan 1, 2029 |
| Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | Yes 11% | +3.5 pts | $408 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Where will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of October? | Indonesia 57.5% | +6.5 pts | $343 | Nov 4, 2026 |
| FDA approves skin cancer vaccine? | By December 31, 2027 66.5% | — | $309 | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | Yes 6.5% | -1.0 pts | $305 | Mar 1, 2027 |
| US Tornadoes in October 2026 | Under 20 54% | +16.5 pts | $251 | Nov 11, 2026 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___? | December 31, 2028 37.5% | — | $243 | Jan 1, 2029 |
57 smaller markets are not shown; all 97 are in the JSON data.
For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.
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People in these markets
Hodge Conjecture · Riemann Hypothesis
More Tech & AI odds
AI (186) · OpenAI (73) · Anthropic (66) · Big Tech (177) · Elon Musk (66)
Frequently asked questions
What are the Science & Space odds on Polymarket today?
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 97 live Science & Space markets with $319.6K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Will the US confirm that aliens exist? (By December 31 3.1%), followed by New pandemic in 2026? (Yes 7.5%), Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next? (No solution by Dec 31, 2027 38.5%).
How many Science & Space markets are open on Polymarket?
97 live markets as of October 6, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.
Where do these odds come from?
From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.
Use this data
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Polymarket View, “Science & Space odds on Polymarket”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/science/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
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