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IPOs Odds on Polymarket
Updated October 6, 2026 · 89 live markets · refreshed twice a day
Upcoming IPOs: which companies go public, when, and at what valuation. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.
Live IPOs markets
| Market | Leading outcome | 24h change | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap | $2.0–$2.25T 31.1% | +1.1 pts | $25.4K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Anthropic IPO by __? | December 31, 2026 81.5% | -1.5 pts | $24.9K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be? | <$1T 22.1% | -0.4 pts | $10.8K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31? | ↑$1.25T 84.5% | +2.5 pts | $10.4K | Jan 5, 2027 |
| What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be? | $1.75–$2.00T 44.5% | +12.0 pts | $9.6K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| 3rd largest private company end of October? | ByteDance 93% | -0.5 pts | $8.0K | Nov 1, 2026 |
| In which month will Anthropic IPO? | November 2026 65.5% | +4.6 pts | $7.7K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap | 1.5T+ 55.6% | -0.1 pts | $7.6K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? | ↑$1.5T 93.5% | +0.5 pts | $6.0K | Jan 5, 2027 |
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets) | 600B+ 94% | — | $4.5K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? | Anthropic 91.5% | -1.0 pts | $4.4K | Jan 5, 2027 |
| Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | Anthropic 50.7% | +4.3 pts | $4.3K | Jan 2, 2027 |
| IPOs before 2027? | Anthropic 83.5% | — | $3.3K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets) | 1.8T+ 79% | -6.5 pts | $3.2K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO? | Morgan Stanley 88% | +0.5 pts | $2.9K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by December 31? | ↑$15B 59.5% | +12.0 pts | $2.0K | Jan 5, 2027 |
| Will Anduril's valuation hit __ by December 31? | ↑$125B 62% | -11.5 pts | $1.4K | Jan 5, 2027 |
| OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap | No IPO by December 31, 2026 95.2% | -0.5 pts | $1.3K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO? | By June 30, 2027 74% | -3.0 pts | $1.2K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Will Glean's valuation hit __ by December 31? | ↓$6B 62.5% | +1.0 pts | $1.1K | Jan 2, 2027 |
| What will Anthropic's public ticker be? | $ANTH 44.5% | -9.5 pts | $970 | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Anthropic 96.4% | -0.1 pts | $925 | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Will ByteDance's valuation hit __ by December 31? | ↑$650B 46.5% | +2.0 pts | $841 | Jan 5, 2027 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ? | $800B 79.3% | +3.1 pts | $819 | Jan 1, 2028 |
| OpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026? | $1.20-$1.30T 16.5% | -2.5 pts | $794 | Nov 30, 2026 |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit __ by October 31? | ↑$22B 75.5% | — | $671 | Nov 1, 2026 |
| Oura IPO Closing Market Cap | No IPO before January 2027 82.7% | +1.8 pts | $644 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by October 31? | ↓$8.5B 53.5% | +18.5 pts | $631 | Nov 1, 2026 |
| What will OpenAI's public ticker be? | $OAI 49% | +4.5 pts | $631 | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Will Glean's valuation hit __ by October 31? | ↑$7B 67% | +1.0 pts | $621 | Nov 1, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by October 31? | ↑$1.05T 89% | +12.5 pts | $577 | Nov 1, 2026 |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by October 31? | ↑$200B 59% | +36.5 pts | $426 | Nov 1, 2026 |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ? | $1.5T 92.2% | +0.9 pts | $408 | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit __ by October 31? | ↓$172.5B 85% | +46.0 pts | $365 | Nov 1, 2026 |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31? | ↑$200B 78.5% | +0.5 pts | $342 | Jan 5, 2027 |
| 2nd largest private company end of October? | OpenAI 93% | — | $329 | Nov 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by October 31? | ↑$1.4T 85.5% | — | $321 | Nov 1, 2026 |
| OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31? | OpenAI + Anthropic 19.5% | -3.0 pts | $294 | Jan 5, 2027 |
| Will Neuralink’s valuation hit __ by December 31? | ↑$50B 89.5% | +10.5 pts | $289 | Jan 5, 2027 |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit __ by December 31? | ↑$190B 60% | -1.5 pts | $255 | Jan 5, 2027 |
49 smaller markets are not shown; all 89 are in the JSON data.
For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.
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How these markets work: Long-dated markets.
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Frequently asked questions
What are the IPOs odds on Polymarket today?
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 89 live IPOs markets with $153.7K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap ($2.0–$2.25T 31.1%), followed by Anthropic IPO by __? (December 31, 2026 81.5%), What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be? (<$1T 22.1%).
How many IPOs markets are open on Polymarket?
89 live markets as of October 6, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.
Where do these odds come from?
From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.
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Polymarket View, “IPOs odds on Polymarket”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ipos/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
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