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Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: October 28, 2026
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Gadi Eizenkot at 46.8%, followed by Benjamin Netanyahu at 35.5%, Naftali Bennett at 10.5%. The market has $43.31M in total volume and $463.7K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gadi Eizenkot | 46.8% | +0.9 pts | $2.70M |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 35.5% | -1.0 pts | $6.18M |
| Naftali Bennett | 10.5% | — | $3.51M |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 1.8% | -0.2 pts | $3.10M |
| Ofer Winter | 0.5% | -0.1 pts | $383.0K |
| Itamar Ben Gvir | 0.5% | — | $1.67M |
| Yossi Cohen | 0.1% | — | $3.10M |
| Yair Golan | 0.1% | — | $2.47M |
| Gideon Sa’ar | 0.1% | +0.1 pts | $2.34M |
| Yair Lapid | 0.1% | — | $1.69M |
| Yoaz Hendel | 0.1% | — | $1.68M |
| Amir Ohana | 0.1% | +0.1 pts | $2.62M |
| Benny Gantz | 0.1% | +0.1 pts | $2.27M |
| Yariv Levin | 0.1% | +0.1 pts | $1.96M |
| Nir Barkat | 0.1% | +0.1 pts | $1.77M |
4 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $43.31M · 24h volume $463.7K · Liquidity $4.03M. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Gadi Eizenkot ■ Benjamin Netanyahu ■ Naftali Bennett · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Israel odds · Middle East odds · Politics odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Gadi Eizenkot at 46.8%, followed by Benjamin Netanyahu at 35.5%, Naftali Bennett at 10.5%. The market has $43.31M in total volume and $463.7K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 28, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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