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Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: October 26, 2026
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Aleksandar Vučić at 66.1%, followed by Ilija Srdanović at 20.5%, Ana Brnabić at 1.0%. The market has $764.4K in total volume and $81.2K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Vučić | 66.1% | -2.1 pts | $539.1K |
| Ilija Srdanović | 20.5% | -2.0 pts | $106.6K |
| Ana Brnabić | 1.0% | -0.9 pts | $26.7K |
| Vladan Đokić | 0.9% | -1.8 pts | $20.0K |
| Stefan Krkobabić | 0.4% | -1.6 pts | $13.7K |
| Ivica Dačić | 0.4% | -2.5 pts | $13.7K |
| Miloš Vučević | 0.4% | -0.3 pts | $10.5K |
| Dragan Đilas | 0.4% | -0.1 pts | $15.0K |
| Đuro Macut | 0.3% | +0.1 pts | $9.4K |
| Branimir Jovanović | 0.2% | -0.4 pts | $9.7K |
Total volume $764.4K · 24h volume $81.2K · Liquidity $518.4K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Aleksandar Vučić ■ Ilija Srdanović ■ Ana Brnabić · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Politics odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Aleksandar Vučić at 66.1%, followed by Ilija Srdanović at 20.5%, Ana Brnabić at 1.0%. The market has $764.4K in total volume and $81.2K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 26, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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