Home › Polymarket odds › Politics & Elections
Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Ron DeSantis at 14%, followed by Gavin Newsom at 13.5%, Rahm Emanuel at 9.8%. The market has $1.19M in total volume and $8.9K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ron DeSantis | 14% | +0.3 pts | $2.6K |
| Gavin Newsom | 13.5% | — | $86.5K |
| Rahm Emanuel | 9.8% | +2.1 pts | $17.9K |
| Marco Rubio | 9.8% | +0.4 pts | $12.0K |
| Raphael Warnock | 9.5% | — | $4.0K |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 9.0% | +1.0 pts | $53.2K |
| Andy Beshear | 8.8% | +7.5 pts | $25.3K |
| Cory Booker | 8.3% | -0.1 pts | $17.0K |
| Stephen A. Smith | 7.5% | — | $17.5K |
| Gina Raimondo | 7.5% | +0.6 pts | $4.3K |
| Glenn Youngkin | 7.2% | +0.7 pts | $6.8K |
| J.D. Vance | 7.1% | +0.5 pts | $38.5K |
| Kamala Harris | 6.9% | +0.4 pts | $65.5K |
| J.B. Pritzker | 6.5% | — | $3.8K |
| Don Lemon | 6.5% | -0.2 pts | $2.7K |
56 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $1.19M · 24h volume $8.9K · Liquidity $1.02M. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Ron DeSantis ■ Gavin Newsom ■ Rahm Emanuel · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
🔔 Get alerts when big markets move — free Telegram watchlist
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Celebrities & Creators odds · Politics odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Ron DeSantis at 14%, followed by Gavin Newsom at 13.5%, Rahm Emanuel at 9.8%. The market has $1.19M in total volume and $8.9K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
Paste this on your site, blog or newsletter. It updates with our page. How to embed
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/odds/who-will-announce-presidential-run-before-2027/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Who will announce Presidential run before 2027? odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/who-will-announce-presidential-run-before-2027/">Who will announce Presidential run before 2027? odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/odds/who-will-announce-presidential-run-before-2027.json — CC BY 4.0, credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link. See the developer docs.
Polymarket View, “Who will announce Presidential run before 2027? — Polymarket odds”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/who-will-announce-presidential-run-before-2027/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
For READMEs, newsletters and forums. Markdown:
[](https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/who-will-announce-presidential-run-before-2027/)
HTML:
<a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/who-will-announce-presidential-run-before-2027/"><img src="https://polymarkettrader.com/badge/odds/who-will-announce-presidential-run-before-2027.svg" alt="Who will announce Presidential run before 2027? odds on Polymarket" width="400" height="64"></a>
Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog