Home › Polymarket odds › Politics & Elections
Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: September 14, 2026
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Magdalena Andersson at 80.5%, followed by Ulf Kristersson at 14.5%, Ebba Busch at 4.0%. The market has $9.80M in total volume and $13.8K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Magdalena Andersson | 80.5% | — | $2.49M |
| Ulf Kristersson | 14.5% | -0.4 pts | $1.88M |
| Ebba Busch | 4.0% | +1.2 pts | $898.9K |
| Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist | 1.5% | -0.2 pts | $491.0K |
| Jimmie Åkesson | 0.2% | — | $1.85M |
| Simona Mohamsson | 0.1% | — | $368.9K |
| Nooshi Dadgostar | <0.1% | — | $1.03M |
| Daniel Helldén | <0.1% | — | $338.1K |
| Anna-Karin Hatt | <0.1% | — | $310.4K |
| Amanda Lind | <0.1% | — | $134.6K |
Total volume $9.80M · 24h volume $13.8K · Liquidity $956.8K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Magdalena Andersson ■ Ulf Kristersson ■ Ebba Busch · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
🔔 Get alerts when big markets move — free Telegram watchlist
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Politics odds · Geopolitics odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Magdalena Andersson at 80.5%, followed by Ulf Kristersson at 14.5%, Ebba Busch at 4.0%. The market has $9.80M in total volume and $13.8K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is September 14, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
Paste this on your site, blog or newsletter. It updates with our page. How to embed
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/odds/next-prime-minister-of-sweden/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Next Prime Minister of Sweden odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-prime-minister-of-sweden/">Next Prime Minister of Sweden odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/odds/next-prime-minister-of-sweden.json — CC BY 4.0, credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link. See the developer docs.
Polymarket View, “Next Prime Minister of Sweden — Polymarket odds”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-prime-minister-of-sweden/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
For READMEs, newsletters and forums. Markdown:
[](https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-prime-minister-of-sweden/)
HTML:
<a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-prime-minister-of-sweden/"><img src="https://polymarkettrader.com/badge/odds/next-prime-minister-of-sweden.svg" alt="Next Prime Minister of Sweden odds on Polymarket" width="400" height="64"></a>
Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog