Home › Polymarket odds › Politics & Elections
Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: February 7, 2027
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Uba Sani at 53.5%, followed by Mohammed Ashiru Isa at 31%, Shehu Bawa at 6.4%. The market has $24.5K in total volume and $228 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Uba Sani | 53.5% | -6.5 pts | $20.1K |
| Mohammed Ashiru Isa | 31% | +2.5 pts | $2.2K |
| Shehu Bawa | 6.4% | -0.1 pts | $393 |
| Danjuma Laah | 5.5% | +0.8 pts | $694 |
| Aminu Abdulfatah | 1.8% | +0.2 pts | $515 |
| Auwal Tafoki | 0.3% | — | $553 |
Total volume $24.5K · 24h volume $228 · Liquidity $81.0K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Uba Sani ■ Mohammed Ashiru Isa ■ Shehu Bawa · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
🔔 Get alerts when big markets move — free Telegram watchlist
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kaduna State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Politics odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Uba Sani at 53.5%, followed by Mohammed Ashiru Isa at 31%, Shehu Bawa at 6.4%. The market has $24.5K in total volume and $228 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is February 7, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
Paste this on your site, blog or newsletter. It updates with our page. How to embed
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/odds/kaduna-nigeria-governor-election-winner/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Kaduna, Nigeria Governor Election Winner odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/kaduna-nigeria-governor-election-winner/">Kaduna, Nigeria Governor Election Winner odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/odds/kaduna-nigeria-governor-election-winner.json — CC BY 4.0, credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link. See the developer docs.
Polymarket View, “Kaduna, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Polymarket odds”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/kaduna-nigeria-governor-election-winner/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
For READMEs, newsletters and forums. Markdown:
[](https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/kaduna-nigeria-governor-election-winner/)
HTML:
<a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/kaduna-nigeria-governor-election-winner/"><img src="https://polymarkettrader.com/badge/odds/kaduna-nigeria-governor-election-winner.svg" alt="Kaduna, Nigeria Governor Election Winner odds on Polymarket" width="400" height="64"></a>
Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog