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Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Merab Dvalishvili at 33.5%, followed by Alexander Volkov at 10.9%, Manel Kape at 10%. The market has $322.8K in total volume and $1.9K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Strickland (settled) | 100% | — | $107.3K |
| Ciryl Gane (settled) | 100% | +38.6 pts | $13.5K |
| Merab Dvalishvili | 33.5% | — | $1.5K |
| Alexander Volkov | 10.9% | — | $673 |
| Manel Kape | 10% | +1.5 pts | $45.9K |
| Nassourdine Imavov | 9.5% | -1.5 pts | $2.2K |
| Paddy Pimblett | 9.0% | +0.1 pts | $4.2K |
| Dricus Du Plessis | 8.5% | -2.0 pts | $129 |
| Diego Lopes | 8.2% | +0.9 pts | $6.3K |
| Charles Oliveira | 8.0% | — | $134 |
| Aljamain Sterling | 7.5% | -14.5 pts | $237 |
| Max Holloway | 7.5% | +0.2 pts | $122 |
| Leon Edwards | 7.3% | +6.2 pts | $41.7K |
| Jack Della Maddalena | 7.0% | +6.6 pts | $49.6K |
| Sean O'Malley | 7.0% | +0.1 pts | $1.5K |
13 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $322.8K · 24h volume $1.9K · Liquidity $15.1K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Merab Dvalishvili ■ Alexander Volkov ■ Manel Kape · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: UFC odds · Sports odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Merab Dvalishvili at 33.5%, followed by Alexander Volkov at 10.9%, Manel Kape at 10%. The market has $322.8K in total volume and $1.9K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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