Home › Polymarket odds › Culture & Entertainment
Pop Culture Odds on Polymarket
Updated October 6, 2026 · 97 live markets · refreshed twice a day
Pop culture: entertainment, celebrities, streaming, music, awards and online moments. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.
Live Pop Culture markets
| Market | Leading outcome | 24h change | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|
| Elon Musk # tweets September 29 - October 6, 2026? | 220-239 59% | +19.5 pts | $342.7K | Oct 6, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist? | By December 31 3.1% | — | $153.4K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026? | 200-219 32.5% | +5.0 pts | $148.3K | Oct 9, 2026 |
| Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026? | 200-219 24.5% | — | $119.1K | Oct 13, 2026 |
| Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? | 1 64.5% | -6.0 pts | $92.3K | Mar 2, 2027 |
| Elon Musk # tweets October 5 - October 7, 2026? | 40-64 62.5% | +5.5 pts | $65.8K | Oct 7, 2026 |
| # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? | 100M+ 99.9%+ | +0.2 pts | $55.8K | Oct 10, 2026 |
| Jynxzi, Ron, and Los beat Minecraft? | By October 15 92.5% | +6.5 pts | $42.7K | Oct 16, 2026 |
| # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Higher Brackets) | 150M+ 99.1% | +22.1 pts | $41.6K | Oct 10, 2026 |
| "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by October 31? | <970m 96% | +2.1 pts | $22.8K | Oct 31, 2026 |
| Which mobs will eliminate Jynxzi, Ron or Los? | Creeper 99.9%+ | +14.4 pts | $22.7K | Dec 1, 2026 |
| # of views of MrBeast video on day 3? | 125M+ 99.3% | — | $21.7K | Oct 6, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Yes 1.4% | — | $21.5K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026? | 1000+ 34.5% | +5.0 pts | $19.5K | Nov 1, 2026 |
| Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of October 17 | Patient Zero - Taylor Swift 72.9% | +18.9 pts | $15.8K | Oct 13, 2026 |
| Next James Bond actor? | Jack Lowden 36.6% | -1.4 pts | $14.1K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part 99.4% | +27.9 pts | $13.3K | Oct 6, 2026 |
| Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31? | Kaitlan Collins 99.8% | — | $12.6K | Oct 31, 2026 |
| What will be the top global Netflix show this week? | East of Eden: Limited Series 99.1% | +2.1 pts | $10.3K | Oct 6, 2026 |
| What will be the top US Netflix movie this week? | Unabomber 99.2% | +3.1 pts | $10.2K | Oct 6, 2026 |
| Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of October 17 | Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 75% | +30.0 pts | $9.0K | Oct 13, 2026 |
| Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | The Odyssey 83% | +1.5 pts | $8.7K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Elon Musk # tweets October 8 - October 10, 2026? | 40-64 58.5% | — | $8.1K | Oct 10, 2026 |
| Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? | Yes 29.5% | — | $8.1K | Feb 1, 2027 |
| Highest grossing movie in 2026? | Spider-Man: Brand New Day 95.5% | — | $7.6K | Jan 8, 2027 |
| What will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by? | Falling 99.9%+ | +34.0 pts | $7.2K | Dec 1, 2026 |
| Jynxzi, Ron, and Los # of Minecraft deaths during marathon? | 120-149 22% | — | $6.3K | Dec 1, 2026 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | Yes 9.5% | +1.0 pts | $5.9K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| GTA VI released? | By November 30 94.8% | -0.1 pts | $5.7K | Dec 1, 2026 |
| TIME Person of the Year 2026 | Zohran Mamdani 27% | -2.5 pts | $5.2K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | Yes 1.6% | -0.1 pts | $4.6K | Nov 1, 2026 |
| What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | East of Eden: Limited Series 99.2% | +39.2 pts | $4.5K | Oct 6, 2026 |
| What will be the top US Netflix show this week? | A Different World: Season 1 99.3% | +2.0 pts | $4.5K | Oct 6, 2026 |
| "Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31? | 150 - 160m 54.5% | -8.0 pts | $3.9K | Oct 31, 2026 |
| CMA Music Video of the Year 2026 | Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) 50.5% | — | $3.8K | Nov 19, 2026 |
| Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026? | Spider-Man: Brand New Day 63.5% | -0.5 pts | $3.4K | Feb 1, 2027 |
| Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | Yes 44.5% | +7.0 pts | $3.4K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes 3.8% | -0.1 pts | $3.2K | Nov 20, 2026 |
| What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1 99.1% | +5.5 pts | $3.1K | Oct 6, 2026 |
| Taylor Swift daily view count hits ___ in October? | ↑24M 20% | -17.0 pts | $3.0K | Oct 31, 2026 |
57 smaller markets are not shown; all 97 are in the JSON data.
For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.
🔔 Get alerts when big Pop Culture markets move — free Telegram watchlist
How these markets work: Box office markets · Awards markets.
People in these markets
Elon Musk · Taylor Swift · Morgan Wallen · Ariana Grande · Tom Holland · Jacob Elordi · Timothée Chalamet · Zohran Mamdani · Donald Trump · Gavin Newsom · Hillary Clinton · Barack Obama · JD Vance · J.B. Pritzker · Tucker Carlson
Related guides
More Culture & Entertainment odds
Movies & Box Office (70) · Music (72) · Awards (91) · Celebrities & Creators (81)
Frequently asked questions
What are the Pop Culture odds on Polymarket today?
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 97 live Pop Culture markets with $1.43M traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Elon Musk # tweets September 29 - October 6, 2026? (220-239 59%), followed by Will the US confirm that aliens exist? (By December 31 3.1%), Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026? (200-219 32.5%).
How many Pop Culture markets are open on Polymarket?
97 live markets as of October 6, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.
Where do these odds come from?
From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.
Use this data
Embed Pop Culture odds
Paste this on your site or newsletter — it shows the five most-traded Pop Culture markets and updates twice a day.
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/topic/culture/" width="100%" height="280" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Pop Culture odds on Polymarket"></iframe>
<p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/culture/">Pop Culture odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
Image badge
Markdown for READMEs and newsletters:
[](https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/culture/)
Cite this page
Polymarket View, “Pop Culture odds on Polymarket”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/culture/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog