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Updated October 6, 2026 · 22 live markets · refreshed twice a day
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 22 live United Kingdom markets with $23.3K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is September Inflation UK - Annual (3.1-3.3% 33%), followed by UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)? (0.4–0.5% 47%), Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner (Sagal Abdi-Wali 92.5%).
UK politics: the prime minister, the parties and elections. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.
| Market | Leading outcome | 24h change | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| September Inflation UK - Annual | 3.1-3.3% 33% | -2.5 pts | $4.6K | Oct 21, 2026 |
| UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)? | 0.4–0.5% 47% | +11.5 pts | $3.6K | Nov 13, 2026 |
| Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner | Sagal Abdi-Wali 92.5% | +4.0 pts | $2.4K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: 3rd Place | Ewan Cameron 34.5% | — | $2.1K | Oct 9, 2026 |
| Turner Prize 2026 Winner | Tanoa Sasraku 38.5% | — | $1.6K | Apr 1, 2027 |
| Andrew Tate released from custody? | By December 31 7.5% | -1.0 pts | $1.6K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | Yes 5.7% | +3.2 pts | $1.6K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory | Labour 5-10% 23.5% | -1.0 pts | $1.5K | Oct 8, 2026 |
| Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Green Vote Share? | 30-35% 21% | -4.0 pts | $771 | Oct 8, 2026 |
| U.K. Annual Inflation 2026 | 3.5–3.9% 55.4% | -1.3 pts | $731 | Jan 21, 2027 |
| Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader? | By December 31 18% | +5.5 pts | $638 | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Labour Vote Share? | 40-45% 39% | -4.5 pts | $542 | Oct 8, 2026 |
| Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man? | Chris Thomas 32% | -11.5 pts | $429 | Aug 1, 2027 |
| Will GBP/USD hit __ in 2026? | ↓1.30 45.5% | -3.0 pts | $421 | Dec 31, 2026 |
| How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? | 6 54.5% | +4.0 pts | $315 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet? | John Healey 13.5% | — | $272 | Jan 1, 2028 |
| UK election called? | By June 30, 2027 23.5% | — | $117 | Jul 1, 2027 |
| UK social media ban in effect by…? | June 30, 2027 79% | +28.5 pts | $89 | Jul 1, 2027 |
| European military action against Iran? | By December 31 6.0% | — | $42 | Dec 31, 2026 |
| How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | 2 87.5% | — | $7 | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Next UK by-election called by…? | December 31 48.5% | +3.5 pts | $6 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader? | By March 31, 2027 25.5% | — | $0 | Apr 1, 2027 |
For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.
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As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 22 live United Kingdom markets with $23.3K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is September Inflation UK - Annual (3.1-3.3% 33%), followed by UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)? (0.4–0.5% 47%), Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner (Sagal Abdi-Wali 92.5%).
22 live markets as of October 6, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.
From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.
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<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/topic/uk/" width="100%" height="280" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="United Kingdom odds on Polymarket"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/uk/">United Kingdom odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/topics/uk.json — every live market on the topic, CC BY 4.0 (credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link). See the developer docs.
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Polymarket View, “United Kingdom odds on Polymarket”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/uk/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
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