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House Races Odds on Polymarket

Updated October 6, 2026 · 100 live markets · refreshed twice a day

As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 100 live House Races markets with $176.9K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is PA-01 House Election Winner (Brian Fitzpatrick (R) 60%), followed by MT-01 House Election Winner (Aaron Flint (R) 76.5%), GA-10 House Election Winner (Houston Gaines (R) 96.1%).

US House races and control of the House of Representatives. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.

🗳 2026 House forecast · 2026 midterm forecast (all chambers): every race in one table with each party's chance and a safe/likely/lean/toss-up rating.

Live House Races markets

MarketLeading outcome24h change24h volumeEnds
PA-01 House Election WinnerBrian Fitzpatrick (R) 60%-5.5 pts$16.3KNov 4, 2026
MT-01 House Election WinnerAaron Flint (R) 76.5%+15.0 pts$10.9KNov 4, 2026
GA-10 House Election WinnerHouston Gaines (R) 96.1%+0.5 pts$8.0KNov 4, 2026
NY-04 House Election WinnerLaura Gillen (D) 90%+1.5 pts$4.8KNov 4, 2026
MO-03 House Election WinnerBob Onder (R) 94.5%+0.5 pts$4.6KNov 4, 2026
SD-AL House Election WinnerMarty Jackley (R) 95.5%+0.5 pts$4.5KNov 4, 2026
CO-05 House Election WinnerJeff Crank (R) 72.5%-3.0 pts$4.4KNov 4, 2026
KS-04 House Election WinnerRon Estes (R) 95%—$4.0KNov 4, 2026
MI-07 House Election WinnerWilliam Lawrence (D) 61.5%+4.0 pts$3.6KNov 4, 2026
CT-03 House Election WinnerRosa DeLauro (D) 96.3%+2.8 pts$3.5KNov 4, 2026
FL-19 House Election WinnerJim Schwartzel (R) 94.5%—$3.5KNov 4, 2026
TX-23 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 0-3% 23.5%+8.0 pts$3.2KNov 4, 2026
SC-07 House Election WinnerRussell Fry (R) 95.5%—$3.1KNov 4, 2026
FL-27 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 6-9% 27.5%+9.5 pts$2.8KNov 4, 2026
IL-02 House Election WinnerDonna Miller (D) 95.9%-0.9 pts$2.7KNov 4, 2026
IL-12 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 35-40% 30%+4.0 pts$2.5KNov 4, 2026
PA-08 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 0-3% 23%+12.0 pts$2.4KNov 4, 2026
NY-17 House Election WinnerCait Conley (D) 63.5%—$2.3KNov 4, 2026
AZ-06 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 3-6% 24.5%+9.0 pts$2.3KNov 4, 2026
UT-03 House Election WinnerCeleste Maloy (R) 91.5%-2.0 pts$2.3KNov 4, 2026
OH-05 House Election WinnerBob Latta (R) 95.5%+1.0 pts$2.2KNov 4, 2026
UT-04 House Election WinnerMike Kennedy (R) 93%-1.2 pts$2.1KNov 4, 2026
AR-02 House Election WinnerFrench Hill (R) 82%-0.5 pts$2.1KNov 4, 2026
MN-07 House Election WinnerMichelle Fischbach (R) 96.4%+2.4 pts$2.1KNov 4, 2026
AL-02 House Election WinnerRhett Marques (R) 74.5%—$2.1KNov 4, 2026
FL-26 House Election WinnerMario Díaz-Balart (R) 87%+1.5 pts$1.9KNov 4, 2026
ME-02 House Election WinnerPaul LePage (R) 62.5%—$1.8KNov 4, 2026
MN-01 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 0-3% 23%+4.5 pts$1.8KNov 4, 2026
OH-07 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 0-3% 21.5%+6.0 pts$1.8KNov 4, 2026
MO-01 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 50-55% 18.8%+7.3 pts$1.8KNov 4, 2026
TX-25 House Election WinnerRoger Williams (R) 95.5%+1.9 pts$1.7KNov 4, 2026
OH-01 House Election WinnerGreg Landsman (D) 87.2%-0.2 pts$1.7KNov 4, 2026
CA-27 House Election WinnerGeorge Whitesides (D) 95%+0.5 pts$1.6KNov 4, 2026
CA-30 House Election WinnerLaura Friedman (D) 95.5%-0.7 pts$1.6KNov 4, 2026
NY-22 House Election WinnerJohn Mannion (D) 92.5%-2.0 pts$1.5KNov 4, 2026
CA-14 House Election WinnerDemocratic Party 99.9%+2.3 pts$1.5KNov 4, 2026
NY-11 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 15-20% 32.5%+2.0 pts$1.5KNov 4, 2026
MN-06 House Election WinnerTom Emmer (R) 95%+0.5 pts$1.5KNov 4, 2026
TX-35 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 0-3% 19.4%-0.9 pts$1.4KNov 4, 2026
AL-04 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 55-60% 30%+10.5 pts$1.4KNov 4, 2026

60 smaller markets are not shown; all 100 are in the JSON data.

For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.

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More Politics & Elections odds

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Frequently asked questions

What are the House Races odds on Polymarket today?

As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 100 live House Races markets with $176.9K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is PA-01 House Election Winner (Brian Fitzpatrick (R) 60%), followed by MT-01 House Election Winner (Aaron Flint (R) 76.5%), GA-10 House Election Winner (Houston Gaines (R) 96.1%).

How many House Races markets are open on Polymarket?

100 live markets as of October 6, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.

Where do these odds come from?

From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.

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Polymarket View, “House Races odds on Polymarket”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/house/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).

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