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Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: October 5, 2026
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo at 97.5%, followed by Ernesto Concha La Torre at 1.5%, Boris Guido Morey Sifuentes at 0.9%. The market has $27.0K in total volume and $1.8K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo | 97.5% | +49.0 pts | $9.7K |
| Ernesto Concha La Torre | 1.5% | -1.8 pts | $957 |
| Boris Guido Morey Sifuentes | 0.9% | -23.9 pts | $2.2K |
| Joel Ronal Parimango Álvarez | 0.3% | -9.8 pts | $4.8K |
| Sergio Antonio Donayre Ramírez | 0.3% | -3.7 pts | $1.4K |
| Cynthia Stefani Gómez Gómez | 0.1% | -9.2 pts | $675 |
| Rubén Antonio Hernández Del Águila | 0.1% | -1.8 pts | $640 |
| Nery Mozombite Cerrón | 0.1% | -0.4 pts | $640 |
| Sivily Maritza Paz Pérez | 0.1% | -0.2 pts | $634 |
| Enrique Augusto Rodríguez Morales | <0.1% | -0.4 pts | $618 |
| Tony Jonatan Mori Vargas | <0.1% | -2.8 pts | $574 |
| Cleiver Inuma Chávez | <0.1% | -0.2 pts | $569 |
| Antony Jhonatan Pinedo Lozano | <0.1% | -0.1 pts | $536 |
| Jenson Harold Rolando Mariñas Cárdenas | <0.1% | -0.2 pts | $529 |
| Richard Arturo Vásquez Salazar | <0.1% | -0.3 pts | $526 |
4 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $27.0K · 24h volume $1.8K · Liquidity $223.1K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo ■ Ernesto Concha La Torre ■ Boris Guido Morey Sifuentes · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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The 2026 Maynas, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Maynas as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Politics odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo at 97.5%, followed by Ernesto Concha La Torre at 1.5%, Boris Guido Morey Sifuentes at 0.9%. The market has $27.0K in total volume and $1.8K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 5, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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