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UFC Odds on Polymarket

Updated October 6, 2026 · 30 live markets · refreshed twice a day

As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 30 live UFC markets with $14.9K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026? (Sean Strickland 93.5%), followed by UFC: Who Will Magomed Ankalaev Fight Next? (Paulo Costa 61.5%), Who will become a UFC champion in 2026? (Leon Edwards 46.5%).

UFC and MMA fights and title markets. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.

Live UFC markets

MarketLeading outcome24h change24h volumeEnds
Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?Sean Strickland 93.5%-0.3 pts$3.2KJan 1, 2027
UFC: Who Will Magomed Ankalaev Fight Next?Paulo Costa 61.5%+25.0 pts$2.0KJul 26, 2027
Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?Leon Edwards 46.5%+45.2 pts$1.9KJan 1, 2027
UFC: Who Will Conor McGregor Fight Next?Michael Chandler 20%+0.5 pts$1.3KJul 12, 2027
Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?Justin Gaethje 89.8%+1.8 pts$981Jan 1, 2027
UFC: Who Will Quillan Salkilld Fight Next?Benoit Saint Denis 47.5%+10.0 pts$824Aug 9, 2027
UFC: Who Will Rafael Fiziev Fight Next?Mateusz Gamrot 34%+22.9 pts$696Jun 28, 2027
UFC: Who Will Ilia Topuria Fight Next?Paddy Pimblett 44.5%-6.0 pts$645Jun 17, 2027
UFC: Who will Gregory Rodrigues fight next?Caio Borralho 11.6%-1.1 pts$531Aug 23, 2027
Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?Petr Yan 61.5%-1.0 pts$405Jan 1, 2027
UFC: Who Will Jean Silva Fight Next?Alexander Volkanovski 22.5%-1.0 pts$317Sep 15, 2027
Who will be UFC Welterweight champion at the end of 2026?Islam Makhachev 93.5%+0.4 pts$305Jan 1, 2027
Who Will Dricus Du Plessis Fight Next?Sean Strickland 31.5%-1.5 pts$297Jul 19, 2027
Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?Carlos Ulberg 90.5%-0.5 pts$247Jan 1, 2027
Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?Joshua Van 93.7%-0.2 pts$235Jan 1, 2027
Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?Islam Makhachev 93.5%-1.0 pts$234Dec 31, 2026
UFC: Who will Carlos Ulberg fight next?Magomed Ankalaev 63.5%-6.5 pts$233May 1, 2027
UFC: Who Will Salahdine Parnasse Fight Next?Rafael Fiziev 18.5%+7.0 pts$162Sep 9, 2027
Who will be the next UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 in 2026?Islam/None in 2026 95.2%+1.1 pts$132Jan 1, 2027
Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?Ciryl Gane 67%—$107Jan 1, 2027
UFC: Who Will Joshua Van Fight Next?Manel Kape 95.4%-0.6 pts$75Sep 21, 2027
Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?Alexander Volkanovski 52%—$66Jan 1, 2027
UFC: Who Will Natalia Silva Fight Next?Erin Blanchfield 25%—$46Oct 5, 2027
UFC: Who Will Sean Strickland Fight Next?Nassourdine Imamov 92.8%+1.7 pts$4May 10, 2027
Will Islam Makhachev retire from the UFC by the end of 2027?Yes 23%—$0Jan 1, 2028
UFC: Who Will Raul Rosas Jr. Fight Next?Aiemann Zahabi 31%+1.5 pts$0Sep 28, 2027
UFC: Who Will Islam Makhachev Fight Next?Carlos Prates 90.5%+0.5 pts$0Aug 17, 2027
UFC: Who Will Song Yadong Fight Next?Mario Bautista 41.5%-5.0 pts$0Aug 31, 2027
Will Jon Jones fight for another promotion by December 31, 2026?Yes 26.5%-12.5 pts$0Jan 1, 2027
Will Francis Ngannou return to the UFC by December 31, 2026?Yes 15%—$0Jan 1, 2027

For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the UFC odds on Polymarket today?

As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 30 live UFC markets with $14.9K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026? (Sean Strickland 93.5%), followed by UFC: Who Will Magomed Ankalaev Fight Next? (Paulo Costa 61.5%), Who will become a UFC champion in 2026? (Leon Edwards 46.5%).

How many UFC markets are open on Polymarket?

30 live markets as of October 6, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.

Where do these odds come from?

From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.

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Polymarket View, “UFC odds on Polymarket”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ufc/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).

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