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Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: July 1, 2027
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is SC Paderborn at 49.5%, followed by Hamburger SV at 42.5%, 1. FC Köln at 30.5%. The market has $22.7K in total volume and $0 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn | 49.5% | — | $5.8K |
| Hamburger SV | 42.5% | — | $3.6K |
| 1. FC Köln | 30.5% | — | $883 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 27.5% | — | $140 |
| FC Schalke 04 | 23.5% | — | $189 |
| SV Elversberg | 16.5% | — | $126 |
| Werder Bremen | 10.5% | — | $2.9K |
| FC Augsburg | 10.5% | — | $1.6K |
| TSG Hoffenheim | 8.0% | — | $472 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 7.0% | +0.1 pts | $1.6K |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 5.5% | — | $1.3K |
| Borussia Dortmund | 3.0% | — | $1.4K |
| Bayern Munich | 2.8% | — | $525 |
| RB Leipzig | 2.0% | — | $820 |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 1.9% | -0.3 pts | $295 |
1 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $22.7K · 24h volume $0 · Liquidity $87.4K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ SC Paderborn ■ Hamburger SV ■ 1. FC Köln · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Bundesliga at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Bundesliga for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Bundesliga, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Bundesliga.
If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Soccer odds · Sports odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is SC Paderborn at 49.5%, followed by Hamburger SV at 42.5%, 1. FC Köln at 30.5%. The market has $22.7K in total volume and $0 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is July 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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