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Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: March 20, 2027
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Real Madrid at 82%, followed by Barcelona at 82%, Arsenal at 79%. The market has $41.8K in total volume and $1.3K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 82% | -3.0 pts | $17.0K |
| Barcelona | 82% | -2.0 pts | $3.0K |
| Arsenal | 79% | — | $593 |
| Bayern Munich | 78.5% | — | $86 |
| Manchester City | 68.5% | — | $108 |
| Liverpool | 65% | — | $3.2K |
| Inter Milan | 42.5% | — | $1.0K |
| Manchester United | 31% | — | $327 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 28.5% | — | $1.9K |
| Atlético Madrid | 26.5% | — | $1.0K |
| Sporting CP | 22% | — | $146 |
| Aston Villa | 21.5% | — | $879 |
| Lens | 20% | +6.5 pts | $1.4K |
| Roma | 20% | — | $301 |
| PSV Eindhoven | 16.5% | — | $2.0K |
18 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $41.8K · 24h volume $1.3K · Liquidity $91.5K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Real Madrid ■ Barcelona ■ Arsenal · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League quarterfinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2027 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Soccer odds · Champions League odds · Sports odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Real Madrid at 82%, followed by Barcelona at 82%, Arsenal at 79%. The market has $41.8K in total volume and $1.3K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is March 20, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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