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Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: October 25, 2027
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Javier Milei at 55.5%, followed by Axel Kicillof at 33.5%, Sergio Massa at 5.3%. The market has $789.9K in total volume and $4.3K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Milei | 55.5% | +0.5 pts | $194.5K |
| Axel Kicillof | 33.5% | +2.0 pts | $129.5K |
| Sergio Massa | 5.3% | -0.7 pts | $64.4K |
| Dante Gebel | 3.1% | — | $48.8K |
| Cristina Fernández de Kirchner | 1.8% | — | $15.9K |
| Myriam Bregman | 1.4% | +0.1 pts | $55.8K |
| Juan Schiaretti | 1.2% | +0.8 pts | $40.2K |
| Patricia Bullrich | 0.9% | -0.3 pts | $16.9K |
| Victoria Villarruel | 0.9% | — | $40.0K |
| Mauricio Macri | 0.6% | -0.1 pts | $46.4K |
| Juan Grabois | 0.6% | — | $41.7K |
| Máximo Kirchner | 0.4% | — | $90 |
| Facundo Manes | 0.2% | — | $30.9K |
| Esteban Bullrich | 0.2% | — | $30.5K |
| Guillermo Moreno | 0.2% | +0.1 pts | $14.0K |
4 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $789.9K · 24h volume $4.3K · Liquidity $1.05M. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Javier Milei ■ Axel Kicillof ■ Sergio Massa · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Politics odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Javier Milei at 55.5%, followed by Axel Kicillof at 33.5%, Sergio Massa at 5.3%. The market has $789.9K in total volume and $4.3K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 25, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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