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Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: April 14, 2027
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Türkiye at 90.5%, followed by Serbia at 87%, Czechia at 87%. The market has $35.8K in total volume and $2.6K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Türkiye | 90.5% | +37.0 pts | $5.2K |
| Serbia | 87% | -4.0 pts | $6.6K |
| Czechia | 87% | +1.5 pts | $1.4K |
| Denmark | 49.5% | +8.0 pts | $1.3K |
| Wales | 40.5% | -12.0 pts | $5.4K |
| Croatia | 40% | +18.5 pts | $2.5K |
| Norway | 30.4% | -0.1 pts | $636 |
| Greece | 14% | — | $1.4K |
| Spain | 12.9% | -1.1 pts | $113 |
| Italy | 10% | -9.5 pts | $5.6K |
| Belgium | 7.4% | +0.4 pts | $4.3K |
| England | 5.5% | — | $897 |
| France | 4.5% | +0.4 pts | $190 |
| Portugal | 4.1% | -0.2 pts | $130 |
Total volume $35.8K · 24h volume $2.6K · Liquidity $2.9K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Türkiye ■ Serbia ■ Czechia · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from UEFA Nations League A at the conclusion of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in UEFA Nations League A for the 2028-29 UEFA Nations League through their final standing in the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League A league phase, via promotion/relegation play-off defeat, or by any other official decision recognized by UEFA.
If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after April 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Soccer odds · Sports odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Türkiye at 90.5%, followed by Serbia at 87%, Czechia at 87%. The market has $35.8K in total volume and $2.6K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is April 14, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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