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Bitcoin Odds on Polymarket

Updated October 6, 2026 · 92 live markets · refreshed twice a day

As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 92 live Bitcoin markets with $1.77M traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is What price will Bitcoin hit in October? (↑ 87,500 82.5%), followed by Bitcoin above ___ on October 6? (78,000 99.9%+), What price will Bitcoin hit October 5-11? (↓ 84,000 57.5%).

Bitcoin price targets, monthly and yearly highs and lows, and daily price markets. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.

📉 Bitcoin price prediction: the price Polymarket's daily ladders imply for the next days, with 50% and 80% ranges.

🇪🇸 Versión en español · 🇧🇷 Versão em português

Live Bitcoin markets

MarketLeading outcome24h change24h volumeEnds
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?↑ 87,500 82.5%-10.0 pts$452.9KNov 1, 2026
Bitcoin above ___ on October 6?78,000 99.9%++0.6 pts$389.4KOct 6, 2026
What price will Bitcoin hit October 5-11?↓ 84,000 57.5%—$256.2KOct 12, 2026
What price will Bitcoin hit on October 5?↑ 87,000 3.2%—$251.6KOct 6, 2026
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?↑ 90,000 77.5%-4.5 pts$194.8KJan 1, 2027
Bitcoin above ___ on October 7?74,000 99.7%+0.7 pts$74.4KOct 7, 2026
Bitcoin price on October 6?84,000-86,000 49.5%+24.0 pts$41.5KOct 6, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?Up 75.5%+26.0 pts$23.8KOct 6, 2026
Bitcoin above ___ on October 8?74,000 99.7%—$19.3KOct 8, 2026
Bitcoin above ___ on October 9?76,000 99.1%-0.1 pts$14.6KOct 9, 2026
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Yes 3.2%+0.2 pts$10.1KJan 1, 2027
Bitcoin above ___ on October 10?74,000 99.3%—$9.2KOct 10, 2026
STRC hits $100 by…December 31 86%+3.5 pts$7.1KJan 1, 2027
Bitcoin price on October 7?84,000-86,000 40%+15.0 pts$6.2KOct 7, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETUp 65.5%+15.5 pts$3.0KOct 6, 2026
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?by December 31, 2027 30%+1.5 pts$2.2KJan 1, 2027
Bitcoin above ___ on October 11?78,000 98.9%+1.7 pts$1.7KOct 11, 2026
Bitcoin price on October 8?84,000-86,000 32.5%+9.5 pts$1.2KOct 8, 2026
Bitcoin price on October 9?84,000-86,000 28%+5.5 pts$1.1KOct 9, 2026
Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026S&P 500 61.5%—$957Jan 1, 2027
When will Bitcoin hit $100k?by December 31, 2027 85.5%+0.5 pts$728Jan 1, 2028
Bitcoin all time high by ___?December 31, 2026 6.2%-0.3 pts$648Jan 1, 2027
Bitcoin price on October 10?84,000-86,000 26%+5.0 pts$549Oct 10, 2026
Bitcoin above ___ on October 12?78,000 97.5%—$534Oct 12, 2026
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?Workhorse 10.5%+1.0 pts$257Jan 1, 2027
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETUp 49.5%—$237Oct 6, 2026
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Yes 1.7%+0.1 pts$179Jan 1, 2027
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETUp 50.5%—$157Oct 6, 2026
Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?Yes 2.2%+0.1 pts$122Jan 1, 2027
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Yes 49.5%-0.5 pts$90Jan 1, 2027
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?Up 50.5%—$87Oct 7, 2026
Bitcoin best month in 2026?August 82.9%-5.4 pts$86Jan 1, 2027
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?Yes 1.9%-0.2 pts$56Jan 1, 2027
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Yes 4.5%—$52Jan 1, 2027
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3PM ETUp 49.5%+0.5 pts$51Oct 6, 2026
What will the Bitcoin Implied Volatility Index hit by October 31?↑ 45 72.5%—$50Nov 1, 2026
What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?↓ 30 12%+2.5 pts$25Jan 1, 2027
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETUp 50%—$20Oct 7, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11PM ETUp 50%—$11Oct 6, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1PM ETUp 50%—$10Oct 6, 2026

52 smaller markets are not shown; all 92 are in the JSON data.

For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.

🔔 Get alerts when big Bitcoin markets move — free Telegram watchlist

How these markets work: Up or Down markets · Crypto price markets · Price range markets.

More Crypto odds

Ethereum (96) · Solana (95) · XRP (87) · Crypto Prices (161) · Token Launches & FDV (163) · Crypto Regulation (22)

Frequently asked questions

What are the Bitcoin odds on Polymarket today?

As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 92 live Bitcoin markets with $1.77M traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is What price will Bitcoin hit in October? (↑ 87,500 82.5%), followed by Bitcoin above ___ on October 6? (78,000 99.9%+), What price will Bitcoin hit October 5-11? (↓ 84,000 57.5%).

How many Bitcoin markets are open on Polymarket?

92 live markets as of October 6, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.

Where do these odds come from?

From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.

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Free JSON

/api/v1/topics/bitcoin.json — every live market on the topic, CC BY 4.0 (credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link). See the developer docs.

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Polymarket View, “Bitcoin odds on Polymarket”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/bitcoin/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).

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