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Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Culture & Entertainment · Market end date: April 1, 2027
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is By March 31, 2027 at 5.5%, followed by By December 31, 2026 at 2.6%. The market has $30.90M in total volume and $409 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| By March 31, 2027 | 5.5% | — | $620 |
| By December 31, 2026 | 2.6% | +0.1 pts | $1.13M |
| By January 7 (settled) | 0.0% | -0.9 pts | $15.18M |
| By January 31 (settled) | 0.0% | — | $10.64M |
| By February 28 (settled) | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $1.29M |
| By January 14 (settled) | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $1.01M |
| By July 31, 2026 (settled) | 0.0% | — | $549.8K |
| By April 30 (settled) | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $414.3K |
| By March 31 (settled) | 0.0% | — | $377.9K |
| By May 31 (settled) | 0.0% | — | $233.6K |
| By June 30 (settled) | 0.0% | — | $74.0K |
| By March 15 (settled) | 0.0% | — | — |
Total volume $30.90M · 24h volume $409 · Liquidity $157.7K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ By March 31, 2027 ■ By December 31, 2026 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Netflix officially releases a new episode of Stranger Things (i.e., an episode that was not previously available to stream on Netflix) between market creation and January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an “episode” must be listed as a distinct episode of Stranger Things on Netflix and be playable for general subscribers in the United States. A behind-the-scenes featurette, documentary, trailer, recap, cast interview, deleted scenes compilation, or other bonus content will not count unless it is clearly presented by Netflix as an official numbered or titled episode of the series.
If Netflix releases an alternate cut, extended cut, or “secret” version of an already-released episode, it will not count unless it is listed as a separate episode entry on Netflix.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Stranger Things title page on Netflix (episode list and availability), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Movies & Box Office odds · Pop Culture odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is By March 31, 2027 at 5.5%, followed by By December 31, 2026 at 2.6%. The market has $30.90M in total volume and $409 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is April 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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