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Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: not specified
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Jannik Sinner at 96.5%, followed by Flavio Cobolli at 96.5%, Ben Shelton at 96.1%. The market has $29.8K in total volume and $1.4K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | 96.5% | +0.1 pts | $138 |
| Flavio Cobolli | 96.5% | +0.1 pts | $20 |
| Ben Shelton | 96.1% | +0.1 pts | $180 |
| Arthur Fils | 91% | — | $4.1K |
| Frances Tiafoe | 88.5% | -0.1 pts | $1.8K |
| Daniil Medvedev | 88% | -5.0 pts | $4.3K |
| Alex de Minaur | 65.5% | +3.0 pts | $3.9K |
| Novak Djokovic | 56% | -4.7 pts | $2.3K |
| Taylor Fritz | 37% | -0.5 pts | $2.8K |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | 36.5% | -14.0 pts | $4.4K |
| Rafael Jodar | 30.5% | -14.0 pts | $1.3K |
| Jakub Mensik | 22% | -4.5 pts | $1.3K |
| Tommy Paul | 11.7% | -1.7 pts | $1.2K |
| Learner Tien | 7.6% | +1.1 pts | $195 |
| Luciano Darderi | 4.5% | -0.1 pts | $60 |
9 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $29.8K · 24h volume $1.4K · Liquidity $10.9K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Jannik Sinner ■ Flavio Cobolli ■ Ben Shelton · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player finishes the 2026 season ranked within the top 10 (positions 1 through 10, inclusive) of the official year-end ATP singles rankings. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
The "year-end ATP singles rankings" are the final official singles rankings published after the conclusion of the 2026 ATP Tour season, including the ATP Finals.
A player ranked exactly 10th counts as "Yes"; a player ranked 11th or lower, or unranked, counts as "No".
If the ATP does not publish a year-end singles ranking for 2026, or the season is not completed, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official ATP year-end singles rankings published at atptour.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Tennis odds · Sports odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Jannik Sinner at 96.5%, followed by Flavio Cobolli at 96.5%, Ben Shelton at 96.1%. The market has $29.8K in total volume and $1.4K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is not specified. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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