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Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: November 8, 2028
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Democratic at 64.5%, followed by Republican at 34.5%. The market has $2.46M in total volume and $390 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 64.5% | — | $1.23M |
| Republican | 34.5% | — | $1.23M |
Total volume $2.46M · 24h volume $390 · Liquidity $538.1K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Democratic ■ Republican · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: 2028 Presidential Election odds · World Elections odds · Politics odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Democratic at 64.5%, followed by Republican at 34.5%. The market has $2.46M in total volume and $390 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is November 8, 2028. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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