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Updated October 6, 2026 · 91 live markets · refreshed twice a day
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 91 live Awards markets with $843.5K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 (Harry Kane 48.2%), followed by Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 (Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms 14.3%), Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026 (Lamine Yamal 97.7%).
Award shows: the Oscars, Grammys, Emmys and other ceremonies. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.
| Market | Leading outcome | 24h change | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 | Harry Kane 48.2% | -0.2 pts | $609.7K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 | Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms 14.3% | -1.3 pts | $169.0K | Apr 1, 2027 |
| Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026 | Lamine Yamal 97.7% | +0.1 pts | $17.7K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | The Odyssey 83% | +1.5 pts | $8.7K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| NFL: 2026 MVP Winner | Josh Allen 21% | -0.5 pts | $4.8K | Mar 1, 2027 |
| CMA Music Video of the Year 2026 | Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) 50.5% | — | $3.8K | Nov 19, 2026 |
| Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026 | Lamine Yamal 98.6% | — | $3.4K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner | The Black Ball 76% | — | $3.0K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations | John Malkovich 94% | — | $2.6K | Mar 15, 2027 |
| Ballon d'Or Top 10 Finish 2026 | Lamine Yamal 99.5% | — | $1.6K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner | John Malkovich 36% | -0.4 pts | $1.5K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Turner Prize 2026 Winner | Tanoa Sasraku 38.5% | — | $1.5K | Apr 1, 2027 |
| MLB: NL Manager of the Year | Pat Murphy 70.4% | -0.9 pts | $1.4K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Winner | you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo 44.5% | — | $1.4K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner | The Odyssey 49% | — | $1.0K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Animated Feature Film Winner | Wildwood 59% | +1.0 pts | $936 | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations | The Odyssey 99.7% | — | $848 | Mar 15, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Casting Winner | The Black Ball 41.4% | -6.5 pts | $834 | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner | Julianne Moore 70% | +0.5 pts | $816 | Jul 1, 2027 |
| MLB: NL Platinum Glove Winner | Pete Crow-Armstrong 98% | -0.3 pts | $754 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner | Ella Langley 63.5% | — | $598 | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Will Tom Holland receive an Oscar nomination? | Yes 9.5% | -12.5 pts | $583 | Jan 21, 2027 |
| CMA New Artist of the Year 2026 | Stephen Wilson Jr. 49.5% | — | $515 | Nov 19, 2026 |
| UEFA Champions League: Most Player of the Match Awards 2026-27 | Martin Ødegaard 26.7% | +23.3 pts | $505 | Jun 19, 2027 |
| Women's Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026 | Alexia Putellas 98.9% | — | $493 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher? | Rodri 21.5% | -13.5 pts | $451 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner | Lionel Messi 80.2% | -0.1 pts | $420 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner | Paul Giamatti 40.5% | — | $404 | Jul 1, 2027 |
| NHL Ted Lindsay Award Winner | Macklin Celebrini 14.1% | +0.1 pts | $358 | Jul 1, 2027 |
| CMA Entertainer of the Year 2026 | Ella Langley 67% | — | $342 | Nov 19, 2026 |
| MLB: AL Rookie of the Year | Kevin McGonigle 92.2% | -0.5 pts | $305 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Harry Kane or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | Kane 53.5% | +7.5 pts | $302 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner | Anne Hathaway 53.5% | -0.5 pts | $289 | Jul 1, 2027 |
| NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner | Connor McDavid 21.2% | -4.3 pts | $289 | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner | The Black Ball 42.5% | +0.5 pts | $244 | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Women's Ballon d'Or Top 10 Finish 2026 | Ewa Pajor 96.8% | — | $224 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner | Pete Crow-Armstrong 97.2% | -2.3 pts | $212 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| MLB: 2026 AL Gold Glove Winners | Dillon Dingler 90.5% | — | $176 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| NHL Vezina Trophy Winner | Logan Thompson 12.5% | +1.0 pts | $142 | Jul 1, 2027 |
| MLS: 2026 Most Valuable Player | Lionel Messi 80% | — | $138 | Jan 1, 2027 |
51 smaller markets are not shown; all 91 are in the JSON data.
For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.
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As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 91 live Awards markets with $843.5K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 (Harry Kane 48.2%), followed by Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 (Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms 14.3%), Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026 (Lamine Yamal 97.7%).
91 live markets as of October 6, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.
From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.
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<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/topic/awards/" width="100%" height="280" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Awards odds on Polymarket"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/awards/">Awards odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/topics/awards.json — every live market on the topic, CC BY 4.0 (credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link). See the developer docs.
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Polymarket View, “Awards odds on Polymarket”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/awards/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
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