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Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: June 14, 2027
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Spain at 36%, followed by France at 20.5%, England at 17.5%. The market has $120.0K in total volume and $23.7K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 36% | -2.0 pts | $16.0K |
| France | 20.5% | +0.5 pts | $10.1K |
| England | 17.5% | -1.0 pts | $10.2K |
| Portugal | 11.8% | +1.5 pts | $10.4K |
| Netherlands | 6.5% | -0.5 pts | $8.0K |
| Germany | 2.5% | -2.5 pts | $9.3K |
| Greece | 2.5% | +0.4 pts | $9.1K |
| Italy | 1.9% | -0.4 pts | $10.5K |
| Belgium | 1.5% | -0.1 pts | $8.4K |
| Norway | 0.9% | -0.6 pts | $8.2K |
| Denmark | 0.8% | -0.1 pts | $9.2K |
| Croatia | 0.2% | — | $2.0K |
| Türkiye | 0.1% | -0.1 pts | $4.3K |
| Serbia | <0.1% | — | $1.5K |
| Czechia | <0.1% | — | $1.4K |
1 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $120.0K · 24h volume $23.7K · Liquidity $382.3K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Spain ■ France ■ England · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Soccer odds · Sports odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Spain at 36%, followed by France at 20.5%, England at 17.5%. The market has $120.0K in total volume and $23.7K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is June 14, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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