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Polymarket odds on people

Updated October 6, 2026 · refreshed twice a day

254 people have at least 2 live Polymarket markets. Most money: Kim Kardashian, LeBron James, Tim Walz, Elon Musk, Zohran Mamdani.

PersonBiggest marketMarketsVolume
Kim KardashianDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 <0.1%7$111.84M
LeBron JamesPresidential Election Winner 2028 <0.1%6$99.07M
Tim WalzPresidential Election Winner 2028 <0.1%6$88.58M
Elon MuskRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028 0.1%146$62.28M
Zohran MamdaniDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 0.1%8$61.48M
Greg AbbottPresidential Election Winner 2028 0.1%5$56.78M
Oprah WinfreyDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 <0.1%4$54.45M
Vivek RamaswamyPresidential Election Winner 2028 <0.1%5$54.13M
Bernie SandersDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 0.9%5$52.87M
Donald TrumpWill Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? 0.4%177$51.93M
Chelsea ClintonDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 0.8%4$50.73M
Tulsi GabbardPresidential Election Winner 2028 0.1%5$49.50M
Andrew YangDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 <0.1%4$48.93M
Gavin NewsomDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 15.6%8$46.56M
Michelle ObamaDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 0.2%5$45.70M
Hunter BidenDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 0.4%5$44.70M
Byron DonaldsRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028 0.1%5$44.44M
Hillary ClintonDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 0.1%5$44.20M
Mike PenceRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028 0.1%4$43.73M
George ClooneyDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 <0.1%4$43.46M
Phil MurphyDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 0.1%4$42.90M
Beto O’RourkeDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 <0.1%4$42.83M
Nikki HaleyPresidential Election Winner 2028 <0.1%5$40.80M
Liz CheneyDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 <0.1%4$38.60M
John ThuneRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028 <0.1%4$38.23M
Kristi NoemRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028 0.1%5$37.78M
Glenn YoungkinPresidential Election Winner 2028 0.1%5$37.04M
Sarah Huckabee SandersRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028 <0.1%4$35.85M
Gina RaimondoDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 0.1%4$35.79M
Barack ObamaDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 0.1%5$34.19M
Raphael WarnockDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 0.5%5$33.75M
Tom BradyRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028 <0.1%4$33.00M
Andy BeshearPresidential Election Winner 2028 1.6%5$32.84M
Richard GrenellVenezuela leader end of 2026? <0.1%1$32.79M
JD VancePresidential Election Winner 2028 20.6%9$32.67M
Roy CooperDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 0.3%4$31.78M
Wes MooreDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 2.1%5$31.15M
Eric TrumpPresidential Election Winner 2028 <0.1%3$29.43M
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 17.9%10$29.35M
Pete HegsethPresidential Election Winner 2028 <0.1%8$29.22M
Katie BrittRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028 0.2%4$29.00M
J.B. PritzkerDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 1.2%6$28.88M
Ron DeSantisRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028 2.6%5$28.27M
Elise StefanikRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028 0.1%4$28.19M
Tucker CarlsonPresidential Election Winner 2028 1.8%6$28.17M
Gretchen WhitmerPresidential Election Winner 2028 0.4%5$27.74M
Jared PolisDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 0.1%4$27.49M
Cory BookerDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 0.7%4$26.34M
Frank DonovanVenezuela leader end of 2026? 0.1%1$25.89M
John FettermanDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 <0.1%4$25.68M
Marco RubioPresidential Election Winner 2028 9.0%10$24.96M
Jon StewartDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 1.2%4$24.82M
Kamala HarrisDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 7.0%8$24.53M
Donald Trump Jr.Presidential Election Winner 2028 0.4%5$23.65M
Mark CubanDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 0.4%4$23.22M
Stephen A. SmithDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 0.1%4$23.12M
Steve BannonRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028 0.1%5$23.03M
Ro KhannaDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 1.5%3$22.29M
Pete ButtigiegDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 5.1%5$20.60M
Matt GaetzRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028 <0.1%5$20.46M
Josh HawleyRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028 0.4%4$20.43M
Ted CruzRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028 2.5%22$20.18M
Rand PaulRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028 0.2%4$19.76M
Jon OssoffDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 14.9%7$19.21M
Erika KirkRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028 <0.1%4$19.07M
Mark KellyDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 2.5%5$18.45M
James TalaricoDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 2.9%4$18.41M
Lula da SilvaWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? 15.5%16$18.28M
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaBrazil Presidential Election 15.5%15$18.28M
Brian KempRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028 0.4%4$17.95M
Josh ShapiroDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 5.9%6$17.67M
Chris MurphyDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 0.4%2$17.47M
Flávio BolsonaroBrazil Presidential Election 83.9%41$17.25M
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 0.2%6$17.03M
Ivanka TrumpRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028 0.9%5$16.91M
Xi JinpingXi Jinping out before 2027? 2.5%15$16.22M
Rahm EmanuelDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 1.7%5$14.84M
Thomas MassiePresidential Election Winner 2028 0.9%4$14.61M
Reza PahlaviWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? 3.0%4$13.11M
Joe KentRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028 0.1%2$8.94M
Ruben GallegoDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 0.1%2$8.87M
Mojtaba KhameneiIran leader end of 2026? 88.1%6$7.39M
Benjamin NetanyahuPrime Minister of Israel after the next election? 35.5%12$7.11M
Ségolène RoyalNext French Presidential Election 0.1%5$6.80M
Marjorie Taylor GreeneRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028 0.4%5$6.80M
Mathilde PanotNext French Presidential Election <0.1%3$6.43M
Olivier FaureNext French Presidential Election 0.1%5$6.33M
Xavier BertrandNext French Presidential Election <0.1%3$6.16M
François BayrouNext French Presidential Election <0.1%3$5.95M
François AsselineauNext French Presidential Election <0.1%3$5.91M
Yaël Braun-PivetNext French Presidential Election <0.1%3$5.71M
Evan PettusVenezuela leader end of 2026? <0.1%1$5.66M
Élisabeth BorneNext French Presidential Election <0.1%3$5.46M
Michel BarnierNext French Presidential Election <0.1%3$5.26M
Manuel BompardNext French Presidential Election <0.1%3$5.19M
Clémentine AutainNext French Presidential Election <0.1%3$5.00M
Nicolas Dupont-AignanNext French Presidential Election <0.1%3$4.95M
Carole DelgaNext French Presidential Election <0.1%4$4.76M
François RuffinNext French Presidential Election 0.1%3$4.58M
Marine TondelierNext French Presidential Election 0.1%3$4.41M
Fabien RousselNext French Presidential Election <0.1%3$4.26M
Clémence GuettéNext French Presidential Election <0.1%2$4.19M
Dan CaineVenezuela leader end of 2026? <0.1%1$4.15M
Valérie PécresseNext French Presidential Election <0.1%3$4.07M
David LisnardNext French Presidential Election 13.4%3$4.02M
Abigail SpanbergerDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 0.1%2$4.01M
Alex PadillaCalifornia Governor Election Winner <0.1%3$3.78M
Laurent WauquiezNext French Presidential Election <0.1%3$3.71M
Naftali BennettPrime Minister of Israel after the next election? 10.5%6$3.51M
Josh SteinDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 0.1%2$3.43M
Nicolás MaduroVenezuela leader end of 2026? 71.2%6$3.42M
Marine Le PenNext French Presidential Election 42.5%4$3.37M
Tom CottonRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028 0.5%2$3.28M
Steve HiltonCalifornia Governor Election Winner 4.0%1$3.23M
Avigdor LiebermanPrime Minister of Israel after the next election? 1.8%4$3.11M
Yossi CohenPrime Minister of Israel after the next election? 0.1%3$3.10M
Dinorah FigueraVenezuela leader end of 2026? <0.1%1$3.03M
Éric ZemmourNext French Presidential Election 0.9%3$2.74M
Jalen BrunsonPresidential Election Winner 2028 <0.1%2$2.73M
Gadi EizenkotPrime Minister of Israel after the next election? 46.8%7$2.71M
Gabriel AttalNext French Presidential Election 2.1%3$2.67M
Jordan BardellaNext French Presidential Election 0.7%4$2.63M
Amir OhanaPrime Minister of Israel after the next election? 0.1%3$2.62M
Bruno RetailleauNext French Presidential Election 1.2%3$2.61M
Yair GolanPrime Minister of Israel after the next election? 0.1%2$2.47M
Sarah KnafoNext French Presidential Election 0.9%3$2.43M
Friedrich MerzFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? 7.0%9$2.42M
Bernard CazeneuveNext French Presidential Election <0.1%4$2.42M
Hakeem JeffriesDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 0.1%3$2.41M
Juan BrancoNext French Presidential Election <0.1%3$2.38M
Elissa SlotkinDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 0.1%3$2.34M
Gideon Sa’arPrime Minister of Israel after the next election? 0.1%4$2.34M
Delcy RodríguezVenezuela leader end of 2026? 25.5%3$2.31M
François HollandeNext French Presidential Election 5.1%4$2.28M
Benny GantzPrime Minister of Israel after the next election? 0.1%3$2.28M
Dominique de VillepinNext French Presidential Election 0.5%3$2.26M
Diosdado Cabello RondónVenezuela leader end of 2026? <0.1%1$2.17M
Moshe FeiglinPrime Minister of Israel after the next election? <0.1%2$2.15M
Xavier BecerraCalifornia Governor Election Winner 96%1$2.12M
Raphaël GlucksmannNext French Presidential Election 1.5%5$2.10M
Gérald DarmaninNext French Presidential Election <0.1%3$2.10M
Ayelet ShakedPrime Minister of Israel after the next election? <0.1%2$2.00M
Sébastien LecornuNext French Presidential Election 0.2%4$2.00M
Édouard PhilippeNext French Presidential Election 17.5%3$1.97M
Yariv LevinPrime Minister of Israel after the next election? 0.1%2$1.97M
Jean-Luc MélenchonNext French Presidential Election 12.5%3$1.92M
Jean CastexNext French Presidential Election 0.1%3$1.89M
Nir BarkatPrime Minister of Israel after the next election? 0.1%2$1.78M
Yair LapidPrime Minister of Israel after the next election? 0.1%3$1.69M
Itamar Ben GvirPrime Minister of Israel after the next election? 0.5%3$1.67M
María Corina MachadoVenezuela leader end of 2026? 0.9%4$1.63M
Adam SchiffPresidential Election Winner 2028 <0.1%2$1.60M
Candace OwensRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028 0.2%5$1.44M
Edmundo GonzálezVenezuela leader end of 2026? 0.2%1$1.41M
Rick ScottRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028 <0.1%2$1.30M
Mohammed bin SalmanNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 <0.1%5$1.27M
Mike JohnsonRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028 <0.1%2$1.27M
Jorge RodríguezVenezuela leader end of 2026? 0.1%1$1.25M
Doug BurgumRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028 <0.1%3$1.17M
Vladimir PutinNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 <0.1%7$1.14M
Karim BouamraneNext French Presidential Election 0.1%3$1.12M
Masoud PezeshkianIran leader end of 2026? 0.4%4$1.10M
Mary PeltolaAlaska Senate Election Winner 73.5%2$1.04M
Israel KatzPrime Minister of Israel after the next election? 0.1%3$948.5K
Kanye WestKanye West performs in Russia by October 31? 1.6%3$942.0K
Tim ScottRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028 <0.1%2$939.4K
Mohammad-Bagher GhalibafIran leader end of 2026? 0.4%2$934.9K
Pope Leo XIVNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 1.6%5$929.3K
Volodymyr ZelenskyyNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 0.9%6$913.2K
John N. KennedyRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028 0.1%2$910.5K
Vladimir Padrino LópezVenezuela leader end of 2026? <0.1%1$891.2K
Julian AssangeNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 0.9%2$867.4K
Abbas AraghchiIran leader end of 2026? 0.4%2$851.5K
Ahmad VahidiIran leader end of 2026? 0.2%2$808.5K
Miguel Díaz-CanelMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? 11%4$748.9K
Aleksandar VučićNext Prime Minister of Serbia? 66.1%4$675.9K
António GuterresNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 1.1%1$644.8K
Chris Van HollenDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 0.1%1$513.6K
Bad BunnyTop Spotify Artist 2026 84.5%9$485.2K
Bruno MarsTop Spotify Artist 2026 1.7%5$425.1K
Ofer WinterPrime Minister of Israel after the next election? 0.5%3$386.4K
Iliana IotovaBulgaria Presidential Election 90%6$338.5K
Javier MileiArgentina Presidential Election Winner 55.5%5$230.5K
Kim Jong UnWho will Trump meet with in 2026? 19.5%5$207.3K
Jerome PowellJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? 17%2$174.5K
Kendrick LamarTop Spotify Artist 2026 0.1%3$155.6K
Taylor SwiftTop Spotify Artist 2026 10.4%22$153.3K
Axel KicillofArgentina Presidential Election Winner 33.5%2$129.7K
Sabrina CarpenterTop Spotify Artist 2026 0.1%5$120.8K
Erling Haaland#1 Searched Person on Google 2026? 14.5%2$98.7K
Howard LutnickWho will leave Trump Administration before 2027? 16.5%2$98.7K
Yoon Suk YeolWho will Trump meet with in 2026? 2.1%2$96.8K
Hodge ConjectureWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next? 20%2$94.5K
Rafael GrossiWho will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31? 12%2$88.1K
Kostadin KostadinovBulgaria Presidential Election 0.1%1$87.6K
Jair BolsonaroWho will Trump meet with in 2026? 4.5%1$72.3K
Rosen ZhelyazkovBulgaria Presidential Election <0.1%1$69.8K
Nikolai DenkovBulgaria Presidential Election <0.1%1$67.2K
Bernard DrainvilleNext Premier of Quebec <0.1%2$66.4K
Sergio MassaArgentina Presidential Election Winner 5.3%2$64.9K
Susie WilesWho will leave Trump Administration before 2027? 18.5%2$62.3K
Sol ZanettiNext Premier of Quebec 0.1%2$62.0K
Tom Holland#1 Searched Actor on Google 2026? 8.7%5$59.0K
Boyko BorissovBulgaria Presidential Election <0.1%1$57.6K
Myriam BregmanArgentina Presidential Election Winner 1.4%2$55.9K
Chappell RoanTop Spotify Artist 2026 0.1%2$53.3K
Ali Khamenei#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026? 3.5%3$50.6K
Morgan WallenTop Spotify Artist 2026 0.1%3$49.0K
Dante GebelArgentina Presidential Election Winner 3.1%2$49.0K
Inde NavarretteOscars 2027: Best Actress Winner 15.5%2$47.6K
Mauricio MacriArgentina Presidential Election Winner 0.6%2$46.5K
Riemann HypothesisWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next? 1.8%4$45.8K
Matt DamonOscars 2027: Best Actor Winner 21%4$43.2K
Chuck Norris#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026? 2.1%2$42.9K
Mark CarneyNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 1.4%5$42.0K
Juan GraboisArgentina Presidential Election Winner 0.6%2$41.8K
Oliver Tree#1 Searched Passing on Google in the US 2026? 12%2$40.7K
Juan SchiarettiArgentina Presidential Election Winner 1.2%2$40.3K
Vassil TerzievBulgaria Presidential Election <0.1%1$40.2K
Victoria VillarruelArgentina Presidential Election Winner 0.9%2$40.1K
Ana BrnabićNext Prime Minister of Serbia? 1.0%2$39.1K
Lee ZeldinWho will leave Trump Administration before 2027? 16%2$35.1K
Tom CruiseOscars 2027: Best Actor Winner 13%2$34.9K
Timothee ChalametNext James Bond actor? 0.2%5$33.4K
Les RépublicainsWill Les Républicains hold 121-124 French Senate seats after the 2026 election? 80.5%9$32.1K
Jacob ElordiNext James Bond actor? 2.2%3$31.6K
Vladan ĐokićNext Prime Minister of Serbia? 0.9%2$31.2K
Facundo ManesArgentina Presidential Election Winner 0.2%2$31.0K
Esteban BullrichArgentina Presidential Election Winner 0.2%2$30.6K
Robert PattinsonOscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner 17%3$30.3K
Andrew ScottOscars 2027: Best Actor Winner 17%2$29.7K
Miloš VučevićNext Serbia Presidential Election Winner 35.4%2$29.7K
Larry Page2nd richest person on December 31? 43%2$28.4K
Marcel Van HattemRio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 1st Place 2.4%1$27.6K
Emmanuel MacronWill Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? 0.4%3$26.9K
Dolly Parton#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026? 52.5%2$26.4K
Wild Horse NineOscars 2027: Best Picture Winner 2.5%4$26.3K
Lindsay Clancy#1 Searched Person on Google 2026? 19.5%2$25.9K
Blagomir KotsevBulgaria Presidential Election <0.1%1$24.8K
Andy BurnhamAndy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31? 7.5%5$19.7K
Ariana Grande#1 Searched Person on Google 2026? 0.7%7$6.9K
Frank OceanWhich artists will release new albums in 2026? 12.5%2$6.6K
Alexandre CuriParaná Governor Election Winner <0.1%1$5.5K
Ursula von der LeyenWho will Trump speak to by October 31? 86.5%1$2.6K
Billie Eilish#1 Searched Person on Google 2026? 0.2%5$1.9K
Romeu ZemaWho will Trump endorse for President of Brazil? 0.7%1$1.8K
Renan SantosWho will Trump endorse for President of Brazil? 2.4%2$1.8K
Ronaldo CaiadoBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Amapá <0.1%2$1.7K
Pablo MarçalBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Amapá <0.1%1$1.6K
Augusto CuryBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Amapá <0.1%2$1.5K
Hertz DiasBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Amapá <0.1%1$1.5K
Sam AltmanWho will Trump meet with by October 31? 28%2$903
Edmilson CostaBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Amapá <0.1%1$821
Veterinário Wilson GrassiBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Amapá <0.1%1$735

Free JSON: /api/v1/people/index.json (CC BY 4.0). Markets about named people in criminal cases or deaths are not listed. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket. All Polymarket odds