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Movies & Box Office Odds on Polymarket

Updated October 6, 2026 · 70 live markets · refreshed twice a day

Movies: opening-weekend box office, release dates and film awards. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.

Live Movies & Box Office markets

30 smaller markets are not shown; all 70 are in the JSON data.

For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.

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How these markets work: Box office markets · Price range markets.

People in these markets

Tom Holland · Timothee Chalamet · Jacob Elordi · Wild Horse Nine · Matt Damon · Tom Cruise · Robert Pattinson · Andrew Scott · Inde Navarrette

More Culture & Entertainment odds

Music (72) · Awards (95) · Celebrities & Creators (81) · Pop Culture (98)

Frequently asked questions

What are the Movies & Box Office odds on Polymarket today?

As of October 6, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 70 live Movies & Box Office markets with $113.9K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Next James Bond actor? (Jack Lowden 36.5%), followed by Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? (The Odyssey 83%), Highest grossing movie in 2026? (Spider-Man: Brand New Day 95.5%).

How many Movies & Box Office markets are open on Polymarket?

70 live markets as of October 6, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.

Where do these odds come from?

From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.

Use this data

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