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Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: March 1, 2027
As of October 6, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Josh Allen at 20.5%, followed by Brock Purdy at 19.7%, Patrick Mahomes at 10.4%. The market has $1.17M in total volume and $6.9K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 20.5% | -0.5 pts | $55.5K |
| Brock Purdy | 19.7% | -2.1 pts | $36.9K |
| Patrick Mahomes | 10.4% | -0.1 pts | $32.2K |
| Trevor Lawrence | 7.7% | -0.2 pts | $32.6K |
| Lamar Jackson | 7.5% | -2.5 pts | $61.2K |
| Dak Prescott | 5.0% | +2.1 pts | $39.9K |
| Joe Burrow | 3.2% | -1.7 pts | $35.0K |
| Caleb Williams | 2.7% | +0.2 pts | $116.7K |
| Jared Goff | 2.1% | — | $26.9K |
| Matthew Stafford | 1.9% | -0.2 pts | $27.2K |
| Jaxson Smith-Njigba | 1.6% | -0.8 pts | $27.0K |
| Jalen Hurts | 1.2% | -0.8 pts | $27.4K |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 1.1% | -0.3 pts | $24.1K |
| Bo Nix | 1.1% | — | $21.7K |
| Jordan Love | 0.9% | -0.1 pts | $20.6K |
14 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $1.17M · 24h volume $6.9K · Liquidity $411.0K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Josh Allen ■ Brock Purdy ■ Patrick Mahomes · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: NFL odds · Awards odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Josh Allen at 20.5%, followed by Brock Purdy at 19.7%, Patrick Mahomes at 10.4%. The market has $1.17M in total volume and $6.9K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is March 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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