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Updated October 6, 2026 · 99 live markets · refreshed twice a day
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 99 live 2028 Presidential Election markets with $2.27M traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms (Democrats Sweep 65.5%), followed by Presidential Election Winner 2028 (JD Vance 20.6%), Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17.9%).
The 2028 US presidential race: party nominees, the eventual winner and candidate announcements. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.
🗳 2028 election odds by candidate: nomination and presidency chances side by side.
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| Market | Leading outcome | 24h change | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 65.5% | -1.0 pts | $561.6K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 20.6% | +0.5 pts | $501.4K | Nov 8, 2028 |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17.9% | +0.3 pts | $417.7K | Nov 8, 2028 |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 64.5% | +1.0 pts | $141.1K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 92.5% | — | $106.6K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 50.2% | — | $85.0K | Nov 8, 2028 |
| Nevada Governor Election Winner | Aaron Ford (D) 55.5% | +4.0 pts | $77.7K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 65.5% | -2.0 pts | $61.8K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Minnesota Senate Election Winner | Peggy Flanagan (D) 86.5% | -1.0 pts | $18.5K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| PA-01 House Election Winner | Brian Fitzpatrick (R) 60% | -5.5 pts | $16.3K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Republican House odds hit __ by October 31? | ↓ 7% 91.1% | +12.8 pts | $14.4K | Nov 1, 2026 |
| Maine Senate Election Winner | Troy Jackson (D) 58.5% | — | $14.3K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | Yes 2.4% | -0.2 pts | $11.9K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Montana Senate Election Winner | Kurt Alme (R) 91.5% | — | $11.1K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| MT-01 House Election Winner | Aaron Flint (R) 76.5% | +15.0 pts | $11.1K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Ohio Senate Election Winner | Sherrod Brown (D) 61.5% | — | $8.3K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| GA-10 House Election Winner | Houston Gaines (R) 96.1% | +0.5 pts | $8.0K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Alaska Senate Election Winner | Mary Peltola 73.5% | +1.0 pts | $7.5K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 73% | -0.1 pts | $6.9K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| South Carolina Senate Election Winner | Darline Graham Nordone (R) 84% | -1.5 pts | $6.5K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 73.5% | +1.0 pts | $5.3K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? | Jon Ossoff 48.5% | -9.0 pts | $5.2K | Oct 31, 2026 |
| Vermont Governor Election Winner | Phil Scott (R) 76.5% | -1.0 pts | $5.1K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Kansas Senate Election Winner | Roger Marshall (R) 67.5% | — | $5.1K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Nebraska Senate Election Winner | Pete Ricketts (R) 73.5% | +1.0 pts | $4.9K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | ≤47 38.5% | — | $4.8K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| NY-04 House Election Winner | Laura Gillen (D) 90% | +1.5 pts | $4.8K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| MO-03 House Election Winner | Bob Onder (R) 94.5% | +0.5 pts | $4.6K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| SD-AL House Election Winner | Marty Jackley (R) 95.5% | +0.5 pts | $4.5K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Iowa Governor Election Winner | Rob Sand (D) 88.5% | — | $4.5K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| CO-05 House Election Winner | Jeff Crank (R) 72.5% | -3.0 pts | $4.4K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Georgia Governor Election Winner | Rick Jackson (R) 50.5% | -4.0 pts | $4.4K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Florida Senate Election Winner | Ashley Moody (R) 91.5% | +0.5 pts | $4.3K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 57.5% | — | $4.3K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Arizona Governor Election Winner | Katie Hobbs (D) 91.5% | — | $4.1K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| KS-04 House Election Winner | Ron Estes (R) 95% | — | $4.0K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| MI-07 House Election Winner | William Lawrence (D) 61.5% | +4.0 pts | $3.6K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| CT-03 House Election Winner | Rosa DeLauro (D) 96.4% | +2.9 pts | $3.5K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| FL-19 House Election Winner | Jim Schwartzel (R) 94.5% | — | $3.5K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Florida Governor Election Winner | Byron Donalds (R) 76.5% | — | $3.2K | Nov 4, 2026 |
59 smaller markets are not shown; all 99 are in the JSON data.
For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.
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As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 99 live 2028 Presidential Election markets with $2.27M traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms (Democrats Sweep 65.5%), followed by Presidential Election Winner 2028 (JD Vance 20.6%), Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17.9%).
99 live markets as of October 6, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.
From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.
Paste this on your site or newsletter — it shows the five most-traded 2028 Presidential Election markets and updates twice a day.
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/topic/2028-election/" width="100%" height="280" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="2028 Presidential Election odds on Polymarket"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2028-election/">2028 Presidential Election odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/topics/2028-election.json — every live market on the topic, CC BY 4.0 (credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link). See the developer docs.
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Polymarket View, “2028 Presidential Election odds on Polymarket”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2028-election/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
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