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Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Tech & AI · Market end date: April 1, 2027
As of October 6, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Dolly Parton at 52.1%, followed by Hayden Panettiere at 19%, Oliver Tree at 11.5%. The market has $94.3K in total volume and $239 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dolly Parton | 52.1% | +0.4 pts | $7.7K |
| Hayden Panettiere | 19% | -1.5 pts | $4.0K |
| Oliver Tree | 11.5% | -0.5 pts | $23.4K |
| Ali Khamenei | 4.6% | — | $18.4K |
| Kyle Busch | 2.1% | -0.2 pts | $1.0K |
| Chuck Norris | 2.1% | +0.1 pts | $19.2K |
| David Hockney | 1.7% | -0.8 pts | $575 |
| Lindsey Graham | 1.1% | — | $3.9K |
| Bob Weir | 0.9% | +0.3 pts | $539 |
| Jesse Jackson | 0.7% | +0.1 pts | $549 |
| Bonnie Tyler | 0.7% | — | $582 |
| Eric Dane | 0.7% | -0.4 pts | $560 |
| Scott Adams | 0.6% | +0.1 pts | $551 |
| Nancy Guthrie | 0.6% | — | $410 |
| Clive Davis | 0.5% | +0.1 pts | $576 |
11 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $94.3K · 24h volume $239 · Liquidity $41.5K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Dolly Parton ■ Hayden Panettiere ■ Oliver Tree · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search United States "Passings" list for 2026.
The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to United States. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through United States → Trending → Passings. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.
This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Big Tech odds · Pop Culture odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Dolly Parton at 52.1%, followed by Hayden Panettiere at 19%, Oliver Tree at 11.5%. The market has $94.3K in total volume and $239 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is April 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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