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Updated October 6, 2026 · 32 live markets · refreshed twice a day
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 32 live Inflation & CPI markets with $54.3K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Another Fed rate hike in 2026? (Yes 77.5%), followed by How many Fed rate hikes in 2026? (2 (50 bps) 64.5%), September Inflation UK - Annual (3.1-3.3% 33%).
US inflation: monthly CPI releases and annual inflation ranges. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.
| Market | Leading outcome | 24h change | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes 77.5% | +2.0 pts | $23.9K | Dec 10, 2026 |
| How many Fed rate hikes in 2026? | 2 (50 bps) 64.5% | +3.0 pts | $8.7K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| September Inflation UK - Annual | 3.1-3.3% 33% | -2.5 pts | $4.6K | Oct 21, 2026 |
| Brazil Annual Inflation 2026 | 5.00-5.49% 44% | -5.2 pts | $3.9K | Jan 13, 2027 |
| Argentina Monthly Inflation - September | 1.9 to 2.1% 55% | -3.5 pts | $2.4K | Oct 13, 2026 |
| Fed decisions (Sep–Dec) | Hike–Pause–Hike 59.5% | -1.0 pts | $1.7K | Dec 9, 2026 |
| Core PCE MoM - September 2026 | 0.2% 35% | +0.5 pts | $1.3K | Oct 29, 2026 |
| September Inflation US - Annual | 3.6% 47% | +2.5 pts | $1.1K | Oct 15, 2026 |
| Core PCE YoY - September 2026 | 3.1% 32.5% | +7.0 pts | $902 | Oct 29, 2026 |
| China Annual Inflation 2026 | 0.6 – 1.0% 47% | -0.5 pts | $875 | Jan 11, 2027 |
| Fed decisions (Oct-Jan) | Pause-Hike-Pause 50.5% | -0.5 pts | $731 | Jan 27, 2027 |
| U.K. Annual Inflation 2026 | 3.5–3.9% 55.4% | -1.3 pts | $731 | Jan 21, 2027 |
| Core CPI YoY - September 2026 | 2.5% 40.5% | +2.5 pts | $719 | Oct 15, 2026 |
| Price of Dozen Eggs in September? | $2.20 to $2.30 43.5% | +0.5 pts | $487 | Oct 15, 2026 |
| September Inflation US - Monthly | 0.6% 44.5% | -1.5 pts | $390 | Oct 15, 2026 |
| US economic state at the end of 2026? | Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) 65% | -4.0 pts | $358 | Feb 1, 2027 |
| India Annual Inflation 2026 | 4.50%+ 89.5% | -1.0 pts | $335 | Jan 13, 2027 |
| September Inflation China - Annual | 0.9% to 1.0% 50% | -5.0 pts | $275 | Oct 14, 2026 |
| Argentina Annual Inflation 2026 | 30.0-34.9% 57.6% | -0.3 pts | $273 | Jan 11, 2027 |
| South Korea Annual Inflation 2026 | 3.0%+ 51.5% | +0.8 pts | $210 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| PPI YoY - September 2026 | 5.9%+ 34% | -6.5 pts | $128 | Oct 16, 2026 |
| Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026 | 2.0-2.4% 77.5% | — | $91 | Apr 1, 2027 |
| Core CPI MoM - September 2026 | 0.2% 36% | +1.0 pts | $88 | Oct 15, 2026 |
| How high will inflation get in 2026? | Above 4.5% 13% | — | $69 | Feb 1, 2027 |
| Will gas hit __ by end of October? | ↓ $3.80 26% | — | $31 | Nov 1, 2026 |
| Canada Annual Inflation 2026 | 3.0-3.4% 36.2% | — | $25 | Jan 19, 2027 |
| Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026 | ≤1.9% 60.1% | — | $18 | Apr 1, 2027 |
| Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026 | 3.1%+ 90.5% | — | $13 | Jan 20, 2027 |
| Mexico Annual Inflation 2026 | 4.00% to 4.49% 45.5% | +1.0 pts | $7 | Jan 9, 2027 |
| South Africa Annual Inflation 2026 | >5.0% 38.2% | — | $0 | Jan 21, 2027 |
| Will ground beef hit __ in 2026? | $7.000+ 55% | -15.0 pts | $0 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? | Yes 4.5% | — | $0 | Jan 1, 2027 |
For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.
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As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 32 live Inflation & CPI markets with $54.3K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Another Fed rate hike in 2026? (Yes 77.5%), followed by How many Fed rate hikes in 2026? (2 (50 bps) 64.5%), September Inflation UK - Annual (3.1-3.3% 33%).
32 live markets as of October 6, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.
From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.
Paste this on your site or newsletter — it shows the five most-traded Inflation & CPI markets and updates twice a day.
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/topic/inflation/" width="100%" height="280" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Inflation & CPI odds on Polymarket"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/inflation/">Inflation & CPI odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/topics/inflation.json — every live market on the topic, CC BY 4.0 (credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link). See the developer docs.
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Polymarket View, “Inflation & CPI odds on Polymarket”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/inflation/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
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