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Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Economy & Fed · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Earbuds/Headphones at 21.5%, followed by Clip-on device for clothing at 12.5%, Glasses at 11.5%. The market has $443.7K in total volume and $2.3K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Earbuds/Headphones | 21.5% | +5.0 pts | $125.0K |
| Clip-on device for clothing | 12.5% | — | $27.5K |
| Glasses | 11.5% | -1.5 pts | $67.7K |
| Watch | 8.0% | -0.5 pts | $42.9K |
| Ring | 7.5% | — | $15.7K |
| Necklace | 5.5% | -4.0 pts | $27.3K |
| Computer (Laptop/Desktop) | 5.1% | — | $39.0K |
| Tablet | 5.1% | +1.2 pts | $21.7K |
| Phone | 4.2% | -0.1 pts | $62.2K |
| Head-mounted display | 2.1% | -0.1 pts | $14.8K |
Total volume $443.7K · 24h volume $2.3K · Liquidity $28.3K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Earbuds/Headphones ■ Clip-on device for clothing ■ Glasses · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released.
If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
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As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Earbuds/Headphones at 21.5%, followed by Clip-on device for clothing at 12.5%, Glasses at 11.5%. The market has $443.7K in total volume and $2.3K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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