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Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is No meeting before 2027 at 94%, followed by Qatar / UAE at 1.8%, US at 1.6%. The market has $3.66M in total volume and $2.1K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| No meeting before 2027 | 94% | -0.5 pts | $425.9K |
| Qatar / UAE | 1.8% | +0.5 pts | $496.3K |
| US | 1.6% | +0.1 pts | $495.2K |
| Switzerland | 0.8% | +0.1 pts | $242.2K |
| China | 0.7% | — | $121.3K |
| Russia | 0.4% | -0.1 pts | $243.3K |
| Saudi Arabia | 0.4% | — | $156.4K |
| Belarus | 0.4% | — | $333.9K |
| Turkey | 0.4% | — | $232.4K |
| Ukraine | 0.3% | — | $239.7K |
| Italy / Vatican | 0.3% | +0.1 pts | $127.7K |
| India | 0.1% | — | $248.4K |
| Kazakhstan | 0.1% | — | $151.6K |
| Hungary | 0.1% | — | $144.1K |
Total volume $3.66M · 24h volume $2.1K · Liquidity $547.7K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ No meeting before 2027 ■ Qatar / UAE ■ US · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Trump odds · Russia–Ukraine War odds · Politics odds · Geopolitics odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is No meeting before 2027 at 94%, followed by Qatar / UAE at 1.8%, US at 1.6%. The market has $3.66M in total volume and $2.1K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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