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Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: January 27, 2027
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Josh Allen at 95%, followed by Dak Prescott at 54%, Lamar Jackson at 50.5%. The market has $24.6K in total volume and $91 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 95% | +6.0 pts | $80 |
| Dak Prescott | 54% | +19.5 pts | $819 |
| Lamar Jackson | 50.5% | +0.5 pts | $60 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 44.5% | +1.0 pts | $669 |
| Jalen Hurts | 30% | +2.5 pts | $130 |
| Brock Purdy | 29.5% | +0.5 pts | $60 |
| Daniel Jones | 26% | +18.0 pts | $141 |
| Fernando Mendoza | 25.8% | +0.4 pts | $548 |
| Tyler Shough | 23% | — | $218 |
| Trevor Lawrence | 17% | +2.0 pts | $42 |
| Jayden Daniels | 13.4% | -0.1 pts | $140 |
| Bryce Young | 12.5% | — | $100 |
| Jared Goff | 10% | +1.0 pts | $350 |
| Bo Nix | 9.0% | — | $101 |
| Jameis Winston | 6.5% | -0.5 pts | $440 |
30 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $24.6K · 24h volume $91 · Liquidity $6.9K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Josh Allen ■ Dak Prescott ■ Lamar Jackson · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named quarterback finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season (Weeks 1 through 18) ranked among the top 5 quarterbacks by total fantasy points under standard PPR (points-per-reception) scoring per the default scoring of ESPN Fantasy Sports. Otherwise, that market will resolve to "No".
Only regular-season games count; postseason (playoff) games are excluded. If two or more quarterbacks are tied such that more than 5 would qualify for the top 5, the tie will be broken by higher fantasy points per game average for the 2026 NFL regular season, and if a tie still persists, by last name in alphabetical order, so that exactly 5 quarterbacks are classified as top 5.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the rankings cannot be determined within this timeframe, all markets in this event will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official season-total statistics as reported by ESPN Fantasy Sports (https://www.espn.com/fantasy/).
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: NFL odds · Sports odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Josh Allen at 95%, followed by Dak Prescott at 54%, Lamar Jackson at 50.5%. The market has $24.6K in total volume and $91 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 27, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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