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Updated October 6, 2026 · 23 live markets · refreshed twice a day
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 23 live Strait of Hormuz markets with $969.2K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is US announces end of Iranian blockade? (By March 31 71.5%), followed by Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed? (By December 31 15%), Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? (Yes 18.5%).
Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz: closures, blockades and tanker transits. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.
For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.
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Iran (109) · Israel (109) · Middle East (111) · Russia–Ukraine War (131) · China & Taiwan (74) · Venezuela (27) · Geopolitics (141)
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 23 live Strait of Hormuz markets with $969.2K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is US announces end of Iranian blockade? (By March 31 71.5%), followed by Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed? (By December 31 15%), Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? (Yes 18.5%).
23 live markets as of October 6, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.
From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.
Paste this on your site or newsletter — it shows the five most-traded Strait of Hormuz markets and updates twice a day.
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/topic/strait-of-hormuz/" width="100%" height="280" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Strait of Hormuz odds on Polymarket"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/strait-of-hormuz/">Strait of Hormuz odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/topics/strait-of-hormuz.json — every live market on the topic, CC BY 4.0 (credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link). See the developer docs.
Markdown for READMEs and newsletters:
[](https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/strait-of-hormuz/)
Polymarket View, “Strait of Hormuz odds on Polymarket”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/strait-of-hormuz/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
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