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Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Crypto · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 20.5%. The market has $2.78M in total volume and $0 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 20.5% | — | $185.7K |
| July 31 (settled) | 0.0% | -0.4 pts | $1.07M |
| December 31 (settled) | 0.0% | — | $677.2K |
| July 18 (settled) | 0.0% | -1.1 pts | $289.0K |
| August 31 (settled) | 0.0% | -0.7 pts | $200.7K |
| March 31, 2026 (settled) | 0.0% | -1.0 pts | $196.3K |
| September 30 (settled) | 0.0% | -0.3 pts | $108.8K |
| June 30 (settled) | 0.0% | -0.6 pts | $52.7K |
Total volume $2.78M · 24h volume $0 · Liquidity $4.3K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ December 31, 2026 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This is a market on predicting the recipient of the Pump.fun airdrop.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Token Launches & FDV odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 20.5%. The market has $2.78M in total volume and $0 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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