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Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Culture & Entertainment · Market end date: July 1, 2027
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo at 44.5%, followed by The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean at 19.4%, Lux - Rosalía at 14.5%. The market has $71.5K in total volume and $1.4K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo | 44.5% | — | $20.6K |
| The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean | 19.4% | -0.4 pts | $28.6K |
| Lux - Rosalía | 14.5% | -4.0 pts | $6.3K |
| Lost Weekend - Phoebe Bridgers | 5.8% | -0.3 pts | $3.2K |
| Confessions II - Madonna | 4.7% | — | $1.2K |
| Dandelion - Ella Langley | 3.4% | — | $1.2K |
| The Romantic - Bruno Mars | 2.7% | +0.1 pts | $1.3K |
| The Life of a Showgirl - Taylor Swift | 2.2% | +0.1 pts | $1.4K |
| The Great Divide - Noah Kahan | 1.9% | -0.1 pts | $1.6K |
| Arirang - BTS | 1.7% | +0.2 pts | $1.4K |
| petal - Ariana Grande | 1.2% | +0.1 pts | $1.2K |
| Iceman - Drake | 0.2% | — | $976 |
| West End Girl - Lily Allen | 0.2% | — | $889 |
| Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally - Harry Styles | <0.1% | — | $911 |
| Octane - Don Toliver | <0.1% | — | $679 |
Total volume $71.5K · 24h volume $1.4K · Liquidity $52.0K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo ■ The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean ■ Lux - Rosalía · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed album that wins Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards.
If an album is not officially nominated for Album of the Year when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated album whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Music odds · Awards odds · Pop Culture odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo at 44.5%, followed by The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean at 19.4%, Lux - Rosalía at 14.5%. The market has $71.5K in total volume and $1.4K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is July 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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