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Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: May 16, 2027
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Oklahoma City Thunder at 96%, followed by San Antonio Spurs at 95.3%, New York Knicks at 93.5%. The market has $74.9K in total volume and $6.1K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 96% | — | $32 |
| San Antonio Spurs | 95.3% | — | $81 |
| New York Knicks | 93.5% | — | $17 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 86.5% | -1.0 pts | $2.3K |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 85.5% | -2.0 pts | $2.7K |
| Denver Nuggets | 85.5% | — | $1.9K |
| Detroit Pistons | 82.5% | — | $1.2K |
| Houston Rockets | 79% | — | $492 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 79% | -0.5 pts | $249 |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 78.5% | -1.0 pts | $1.0K |
| Boston Celtics | 78% | +6.5 pts | $2.4K |
| Toronto Raptors | 71.5% | -3.0 pts | $3.2K |
| Miami Heat | 71% | +2.5 pts | $2.7K |
| Indiana Pacers | 65.5% | +3.0 pts | $960 |
| Orlando Magic | 60.5% | — | $887 |
15 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $74.9K · 24h volume $6.1K · Liquidity $481.2K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Oklahoma City Thunder ■ San Antonio Spurs ■ New York Knicks · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a spot in the 2027 NBA Playoffs per the rules of the NBA. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2027 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
Reaching the Play-In Tournament does not, by itself, qualify a team for the Playoffs and will not resolve this market to "Yes." A team must win its way through the Play-In into the 7-seed or 8-seed to qualify. Losing in the Play-In Tournament (or any associated tiebreaker) resolves this market to "No."
If the 2027 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed to begin after May 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the full 16-team playoff field has not been officially confirmed by the NBA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA and/or the clinching team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: NBA odds · Sports odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Oklahoma City Thunder at 96%, followed by San Antonio Spurs at 95.3%, New York Knicks at 93.5%. The market has $74.9K in total volume and $6.1K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is May 16, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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