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Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Culture & Entertainment · Market end date: July 1, 2027
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Ella Langley at 63.5%, followed by SIENNA SPIRO at 26.5%, Adéla at 3.6%. The market has $24.1K in total volume and $598 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Langley | 63.5% | — | $9.0K |
| SIENNA SPIRO | 26.5% | -1.0 pts | $4.7K |
| Adéla | 3.6% | +0.5 pts | $323 |
| CMAT | 3.0% | +0.8 pts | $377 |
| Geese | 2.6% | +0.6 pts | $322 |
| Magdalena Bay | 2.5% | -0.2 pts | $343 |
| PARTYOF2 | 2.5% | +1.6 pts | $333 |
| The Beaches | 2.2% | -0.4 pts | $338 |
| Slayyyter | 2.1% | +0.1 pts | $489 |
| Oklou | 1.3% | +0.2 pts | $342 |
| Bella Kay | 0.9% | -0.5 pts | $283 |
| Renee Rapp | 0.8% | — | $783 |
| Loe Shimmy | 0.8% | +0.1 pts | $344 |
| Dijon | 0.7% | +0.1 pts | $340 |
| Megan Moroney | 0.7% | +0.1 pts | $305 |
15 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $24.1K · 24h volume $598 · Liquidity $70.7K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Ella Langley ■ SIENNA SPIRO ■ Adéla · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist that wins Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards.
If an artist is not officially nominated for Best New Artist when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Music odds · Awards odds · Pop Culture odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Ella Langley at 63.5%, followed by SIENNA SPIRO at 26.5%, Adéla at 3.6%. The market has $24.1K in total volume and $598 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is July 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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