Home › Polymarket odds › Culture & Entertainment
Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Culture & Entertainment · Market end date: April 1, 2027
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Tanoa Sasraku at 38.5%, followed by Simeon Barclay at 34.5%, Kira Freije at 8.5%. The market has $26.4K in total volume and $1.5K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tanoa Sasraku | 38.5% | — | $7.9K |
| Simeon Barclay | 34.5% | +24.0 pts | $3.8K |
| Kira Freije | 8.5% | -1.0 pts | $8.0K |
| Marguerite Humeau | 6.0% | — | $6.7K |
Total volume $26.4K · 24h volume $1.5K · Liquidity $9.2K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Tanoa Sasraku ■ Simeon Barclay ■ Kira Freije · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
🔔 Get alerts when big markets move — free Telegram watchlist
The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026.
If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: United Kingdom odds · Awards odds · Pop Culture odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Tanoa Sasraku at 38.5%, followed by Simeon Barclay at 34.5%, Kira Freije at 8.5%. The market has $26.4K in total volume and $1.5K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is April 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
Paste this on your site, blog or newsletter. It updates with our page. How to embed
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/odds/turner-prize-2026-winner/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Turner Prize 2026 Winner odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/turner-prize-2026-winner/">Turner Prize 2026 Winner odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/odds/turner-prize-2026-winner.json — CC BY 4.0, credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link. See the developer docs.
Polymarket View, “Turner Prize 2026 Winner — Polymarket odds”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/turner-prize-2026-winner/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
For READMEs, newsletters and forums. Markdown:
[](https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/turner-prize-2026-winner/)
HTML:
<a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/turner-prize-2026-winner/"><img src="https://polymarkettrader.com/badge/odds/turner-prize-2026-winner.svg" alt="Turner Prize 2026 Winner odds on Polymarket" width="400" height="64"></a>
Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog