Home › Polymarket odds › Politics & Elections
Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is The Netherlands at 11%, followed by Italy at 11%, Greece at 10.9%. The market has $761.9K in total volume and $1.0K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Netherlands | 11% | +3.0 pts | $62.9K |
| Italy | 11% | -2.0 pts | $28.1K |
| Greece | 10.9% | +2.5 pts | $46.9K |
| New Zealand | 10% | -0.5 pts | $124.6K |
| Japan | 9.5% | +1.5 pts | $49.0K |
| Belgium | 7.5% | — | $80.1K |
| Finland | 7.0% | -2.0 pts | $38.6K |
| United States | 7.0% | +2.8 pts | $27.8K |
| Germany | 4.4% | -0.1 pts | $130.3K |
| Austria | 4.1% | — | $173.4K |
| Israel | 4.0% | — | $297 |
Total volume $761.9K · 24h volume $1.0K · Liquidity $92.4K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ The Netherlands ■ Italy ■ Greece · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
🔔 Get alerts when big markets move — free Telegram watchlist
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Israel odds · Politics odds · Geopolitics odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is The Netherlands at 11%, followed by Italy at 11%, Greece at 10.9%. The market has $761.9K in total volume and $1.0K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
Paste this on your site, blog or newsletter. It updates with our page. How to embed
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/odds/which-countries-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027? odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-countries-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/">Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027? odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/odds/which-countries-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027.json — CC BY 4.0, credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link. See the developer docs.
Polymarket View, “Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027? — Polymarket odds”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-countries-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
For READMEs, newsletters and forums. Markdown:
[](https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-countries-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/)
HTML:
<a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-countries-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/"><img src="https://polymarkettrader.com/badge/odds/which-countries-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027.svg" alt="Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027? odds on Polymarket" width="400" height="64"></a>
Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog