Daily notes on which Polymarket markets are moving and why: volume, odds and context. No spam.
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Market movers, odds shifts, and catalyst notes. No real-money trading claim while the trader is off.
Use the 24-hour biggest movers, probability, EV, and Kelly calculators before forming a thesis.
Public notes on what is being watched, what is skipped, and when real PnL tracking actually starts.
Sample watchlist alert
MOVE: A Polymarket question jumps +8¢ in 24 hours with rising volume.
Next checks: catalyst, liquidity, spread, resolution rules. Status: watchlist only — not a trade recommendation.
Recent results: September 2026 Jobs Report Results: 29,000 Jobs Added, Unemployment Rate 4.2% · Russian Parliamentary Election 2026 Results (Sept 18–20): United Russia 355 Seats · Bank of Japan Decision September 18, 2026: Hiked 25 bp to 1.25% (7–2) · Bank of England September 2026 Decision: Bank Rate Held at 3.75% (6–3 Vote) · Fed Decision September 16, 2026: FOMC Hiked 25 bp to 3.75%–4.00% · Emmys 2026 Winners: The Pitt, Widow's Bay & DTF St. Louis — Polymarket Settlement
📈 Polymarket odds right now: Next French Presidential Election Marine Le Pen 43% · Presidential Election Winner 2028 JD Vance 21% · US announces end of Iranian blockade? By March 31 71% · Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Gadi Eizenkot 47% · What price will Bitcoin hit in October? ↑ 87,500 80%
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