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Updated October 6, 2026 · refreshed twice a day
On Polymarket, JD Vance (20.2%), Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (14.8%), Jon Ossoff (10.4%) are the favourites to win the 2028 presidential election; Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads the Democratic nomination at 17.9% and JD Vance the Republican nomination at 50.2%. Prices as of October 6, 2026, refreshed twice a day.
| Candidate | Party market | Nomination | Presidency | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JD Vance | Republican | 50.2% | 20.2% | +0.2 pts |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | Democrat | 17.9% | 14.8% | -0.1 pts |
| Jon Ossoff | Democrat | 14.9% | 10.4% | -0.3 pts |
| Marco Rubio | Republican | 15.2% | 8.9% | — |
| Gavin Newsom | Democrat | 15.7% | 8.1% | — |
| Kamala Harris | Democrat | 7.1% | 4.5% | +0.2 pts |
| Josh Shapiro | Democrat | 6.8% | 3.0% | — |
| Pete Buttigieg | Democrat | 5.1% | 2.8% | — |
| Tucker Carlson | Republican | 3.1% | 1.8% | — |
| Ron DeSantis | Republican | 2.6% | 1.8% | +0.2 pts |
| Andy Beshear | Democrat | 3.2% | 1.6% | — |
| James Talarico | Democrat | 3.0% | 1.4% | +0.1 pts |
| Mark Kelly | Democrat | 2.5% | 1.4% | — |
| Donald Trump | Republican | 1.9% | 1.4% | +0.1 pts |
| Thomas Massie | Republican | 0.8% | 0.9% | — |
| Wes Moore | Democrat | 2.1% | 0.9% | -0.1 pts |
| Ro Khanna | Democrat | 1.4% | 0.9% | +0.1 pts |
| Rahm Emanuel | Democrat | 1.8% | 0.7% | — |
| Ted Cruz | Republican | 2.4% | 0.5% | — |
| J.B. Pritzker | Democrat | 1.2% | 0.5% | — |
| Donald Trump Jr. | Republican | 1.6% | 0.4% | — |
| Ivanka Trump | Republican | 0.9% | 0.4% | -0.1 pts |
| Gretchen Whitmer | Democrat | 0.9% | 0.4% | — |
| Raphael Warnock | Democrat | 0.5% | 0.4% | +0.1 pts |
| Tulsi Gabbard | Republican | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| Glenn Youngkin | Republican | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| Michelle Obama | Democrat | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
| Elon Musk | Republican | 0.1% | 0.1% | — |
| Greg Abbott | Republican | 0.1% | 0.1% | — |
| Tom Cotton | Republican | 0.4% | <0.1% | — |
| Pete Hegseth | Republican | 0.4% | <0.1% | — |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | Republican | 0.2% | <0.1% | — |
| Candace Owens | Republican | 0.2% | <0.1% | — |
| Zohran Mamdani | Democrat | 0.1% | <0.1% | — |
| Nikki Haley | Republican | 0.1% | <0.1% | — |
| Eric Trump | Republican | 0.1% | <0.1% | — |
| Abigail Spanberger | Democrat | 0.1% | <0.1% | — |
| Josh Stein | Democrat | 0.1% | <0.1% | — |
| Hakeem Jeffries | Democrat | 0.1% | <0.1% | — |
| Elissa Slotkin | Democrat | 0.1% | <0.1% | — |
| John N. Kennedy | Republican | 0.1% | <0.1% | — |
| Kim Kardashian | Democrat | <0.1% | <0.1% | — |
| LeBron James | Democrat | <0.1% | <0.1% | — |
| Tim Walz | Democrat | <0.1% | <0.1% | — |
| Alex Padilla | Democrat | <0.1% | <0.1% | — |
| Adam Schiff | Democrat | <0.1% | <0.1% | — |
| Rick Scott | Republican | <0.1% | <0.1% | — |
| Mike Johnson | Republican | <0.1% | <0.1% | — |
| Doug Burgum | Republican | <0.1% | <0.1% | — |
| Tim Scott | Republican | <0.1% | <0.1% | — |
| Jalen Brunson | — | <0.1% | — | |
| Jon Stewart | Democrat | 1.2% | — | — |
| Bernie Sanders | Democrat | 0.9% | — | — |
| Chelsea Clinton | Democrat | 0.7% | — | — |
| Cory Booker | Democrat | 0.7% | — | — |
| Hunter Biden | Democrat | 0.4% | — | — |
| Mark Cuban | Democrat | 0.4% | — | — |
| Josh Hawley | Republican | 0.4% | — | — |
| Brian Kemp | Republican | 0.4% | — | — |
| Chris Murphy | Democrat | 0.4% | — | — |
Nomination = the candidate's price in Polymarket's Democratic or Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 market; Presidency = Presidential Election Winner 2028. Each name links to every live market on that person. All 2028 markets: 2028 election odds.
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Polymarket View, “2028 election odds by candidate”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2028-candidates/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
On Polymarket, JD Vance (20.2%), Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (14.8%), Jon Ossoff (10.4%) are the favourites to win the 2028 presidential election; Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads the Democratic nomination at 17.9% and JD Vance the Republican nomination at 50.2%. Prices as of October 6, 2026, refreshed twice a day.
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads the Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 market at 17.9%.
JD Vance leads the Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 market at 50.2%.
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