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Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Max Verstappen at 36.6%, followed by Kimi Antonelli at 24.5%, Lewis Hamilton at 10.4%. The market has $186.6K in total volume and $1.7K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | 36.6% | -5.0 pts | $2.0K |
| Kimi Antonelli | 24.5% | +5.5 pts | $17.6K |
| Lewis Hamilton | 10.4% | -2.5 pts | $1.5K |
| Charles Leclerc | 4.5% | -0.1 pts | $710 |
| Franco Colapinto | 4.2% | — | $983 |
| George Russell | 4.1% | -0.1 pts | $744 |
| Lando Norris | 3.4% | — | $643 |
| Pierre Gasly | 2.2% | — | $26.6K |
| Alexander Albon | 2.2% | -0.1 pts | $3.3K |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 2.1% | — | $555 |
| Liam Lawson | 2.1% | — | $527 |
| Carlos Sainz | 1.8% | — | $4.3K |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 1.8% | -0.1 pts | $634 |
| Oscar Piastri | 1.8% | — | $753 |
| Fernando Alonso | 1.7% | — | $23.4K |
7 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $186.6K · 24h volume $1.7K · Liquidity $32.3K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Max Verstappen ■ Kimi Antonelli ■ Lewis Hamilton · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to the driver who wins the 2026 Action of the Year award for the 2026 Formula 1 season as awarded at the FIA Awards.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Sports odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Max Verstappen at 36.6%, followed by Kimi Antonelli at 24.5%, Lewis Hamilton at 10.4%. The market has $186.6K in total volume and $1.7K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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