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Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Economy & Fed · Market end date: January 3, 2027
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Jensen Huang at 39%, followed by Warren Buffett at 31.9%, Jeff Bezos at 31.8%. The market has $27.8K in total volume and $2.8K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jensen Huang | 39% | -1.9 pts | $1.1K |
| Warren Buffett | 31.9% | -6.0 pts | $1.4K |
| Jeff Bezos | 31.8% | -9.8 pts | $651 |
| Elon Musk | 25.1% | -0.2 pts | $619 |
| Mark Zuckerberg | 24.1% | -5.2 pts | $1.1K |
| Bernard Arnault | 13.9% | +0.1 pts | $346 |
| Sergey Brin | 10% | -36.0 pts | $683 |
| Larry Page | 5.3% | -40.8 pts | $7.0K |
| Larry Ellison | 1.6% | -39.4 pts | $785 |
| Steve Ballmer | 0.7% | -34.9 pts | $13.8K |
| Michael Dell | 0.3% | — | $292 |
Total volume $27.8K · 24h volume $2.8K · Liquidity $2.5K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Jensen Huang ■ Warren Buffett ■ Jeff Bezos · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
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As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Jensen Huang at 39%, followed by Warren Buffett at 31.9%, Jeff Bezos at 31.8%. The market has $27.8K in total volume and $2.8K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 3, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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