Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › Wyoming
Updated October 6, 2026 at 13:29 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for Wyoming in the 2026 midterms. Wyoming's Senate race: Harriet Hageman (Republican) leads at 97.5% (Safe Republican). Wyoming's governor race: Eric Barlow (Republican) leads at 97.4% (Safe Republican). House: Democrats favoured in 0 and Republicans in 1 of 1 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | James W. Byrd 2.5% | Harriet Hageman 97.5% | Safe Republican | $19.4K | race page |
| Governor | Kenneth Casner 2.6% | Eric Barlow 97.4% | Safe Republican | $11.6K | race page |
| House WY-AL | Lisa Kinney 0.4% | Chuck Gray 97.9% | Safe Republican | $47.5K | race page |
Same races on Kalshi: Senate: Democrat 2.5% / Republican 97.6% · Governor: Democrat 3.4% / Republican 96.8% (midpoint of bid and ask).
Ratings from the favorite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
On November 3: election night guide (when polls close, how these markets resolve, what moves the odds).
Quoting these numbers in an article, a paper or a newsletter? Copy this citation and keep the date, because prices move. Tips: how to cite Polymarket odds.
Polymarket View, “Wyoming 2026 election odds on Polymarket”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2026-elections/wyoming/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Polymarket odds for Wyoming in the 2026 midterms. Wyoming's Senate race: Harriet Hageman (Republican) leads at 97.5% (Safe Republican). Wyoming's governor race: Eric Barlow (Republican) leads at 97.4% (Safe Republican). House: Democrats favoured in 0 and Republicans in 1 of 1 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
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