Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › North Carolina
Updated October 6, 2026 at 13:29 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for North Carolina in the 2026 midterms. North Carolina's Senate race: Roy Cooper (Democrat) leads at 96.5% (Safe Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 5 and Republicans in 9 of 14 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Roy Cooper 96.5% | Michael Whatley 3.6% | Safe Democrat | $215.0K | race page |
| House NC-01 | Don Davis 61.5% | Laurie Buckhout 36.5% | Lean Democrat | $3.1K | race page |
| House NC-02 | Deborah Ross 98.8% | Eugene Douglass 1.2% | Safe Democrat | $27.9K | race page |
| House NC-03 | Raymond Smith Jr. 13.5% | Greg Murphy 86% | Likely Republican | $22.2K | race page |
| House NC-04 | Valerie Foushee 96.4% | Max Ganorkar 3.9% | Safe Democrat | $51.0K | race page |
| House NC-05 | Chuck Hubbard 13.2% | Virginia Foxx 85% | Likely Republican | $45.6K | race page |
| House NC-06 | Cyril Jefferson 7.5% | Addison McDowell 91.5% | Likely Republican | $49.8K | race page |
| House NC-07 | Kimberly Hardy 15% | David Rouzer 85.5% | Likely Republican | $29.5K | race page |
| House NC-08 | Colby Watson 2.6% | Mark Harris 94.8% | Likely Republican | $32.0K | race page |
| House NC-09 | Richard Ojeda 17% | Richard Hudson 81.5% | Likely Republican | $30.6K | race page |
| House NC-10 | Ashley Bell 5.9% | Pat Harrigan 94.4% | Likely Republican | $11.5K | race page |
| House NC-11 | Jamie Ager 72% | Jennifer Balkcom 28% | Lean Democrat | $21.6K | race page |
| House NC-12 | Alma Adams 96% | Jack Codiga 1.7% | Safe Democrat | $66.3K | race page |
| House NC-13 | Paul Barringer 14.5% | Brad Knott 83.5% | Likely Republican | $9.8K | race page |
| House NC-14 | Lakesha Womack 13.5% | Tim Moore 86% | Likely Republican | $34.2K | race page |
Same races on Kalshi: Senate: Democrat 97.3% / Republican 2.8% (midpoint of bid and ask).
Ratings from the favorite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
On November 3: election night guide (when polls close, how these markets resolve, what moves the odds).
Quoting these numbers in an article, a paper or a newsletter? Copy this citation and keep the date, because prices move. Tips: how to cite Polymarket odds.
Polymarket View, “North Carolina 2026 election odds on Polymarket”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2026-elections/north-carolina/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Polymarket odds for North Carolina in the 2026 midterms. North Carolina's Senate race: Roy Cooper (Democrat) leads at 96.5% (Safe Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 5 and Republicans in 9 of 14 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
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