Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › West Virginia
Updated October 6, 2026 at 13:29 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for West Virginia in the 2026 midterms. West Virginia's Senate race: Shelley Moore Capito (Republican) leads at 98.2% (Safe Republican). House: Democrats favoured in 0 and Republicans in 2 of 2 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Rachel Fetty Anderson 1.2% | Shelley Moore Capito 98.2% | Safe Republican | $16.2K | race page |
| House WV-01 | Vince George 2.1% | Carol Miller 98.2% | Safe Republican | $62.4K | race page |
| House WV-02 | Ace Parsi 3.3% | Riley Moore 96.5% | Safe Republican | $100.4K | race page |
Same races on Kalshi: Senate: Democrat 2.5% / Republican 97.8% (midpoint of bid and ask).
Ratings from the favorite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
On November 3: election night guide (when polls close, how these markets resolve, what moves the odds).
Quoting these numbers in an article, a paper or a newsletter? Copy this citation and keep the date, because prices move. Tips: how to cite Polymarket odds.
Polymarket View, “West Virginia 2026 election odds on Polymarket”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2026-elections/west-virginia/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Polymarket odds for West Virginia in the 2026 midterms. West Virginia's Senate race: Shelley Moore Capito (Republican) leads at 98.2% (Safe Republican). House: Democrats favoured in 0 and Republicans in 2 of 2 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
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